Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
It wasn't designed to "get back what you pay in". Fundamental misunderstanding of how Social Security works is unbelievably common.
Current workforce pays current retirees benefits.
One earns benefits based on their own lifetime earnings.
It has ZILCH to do with what one has "paid in".
If you don't believe in how Social Security works, that's fine, and that's a debate to have. But if you don't accurately represent how Social Security works, it's impossible to have that discussion.
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You might want to practice what you preach.
Social Security
is a Ponzi Scheme, like it or not. There is one and only one Element of Proof necessary to prove a Ponzi Scheme:
A "Ponzi scheme" is one "in which earlier investors' returns are generated by the influx of fresh capital from unwitting newcomers rather than through legitimate investment activity." SEC v. Credit Bancorp, Ltd
., 290 F.3d 80, 89 (2d Cir. 2002) (internal quotation marks omitted). For a description of the operations of the eponymous Charles Ponzi himself, see Cunningham v. Brown
, 265 U.S. 1, 7-9, 44 S. Ct. 424, 68 L. Ed. 873 (1924).
In a court of law, I need only ask one question to prove that Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme:
If new entrants to the work force do not pay FICA taxes, will Social Security still be viable?
Answer:
No.
Ergo, Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme. The fact that no one lied, or that there is no promise of a ridiculous return amount on monies, or that there is a promise of any return at all on monies is totally and completely irrelevant.
I need only to prove one thing: Social Security requires new entrants to pay off benefits to people who contributed earlier.
Having said that, I freely admit that Social Security is not an investment plan, nor is it a pension plan, nor is a retirement plan, nor is it a personal savings plan.
Social Security is exactly what it appears to be: OASI = Old Age Survivor's
Insurance
Even so, as an insurance plan, Social Security is still a Ponzi Scheme.
Note that both Medicare, and any envisioned single-payer national health plan would also be Ponzi Schemes, and ultimately doomed to total failure.
As an insurance plan, some people have really weird misconceptions about that. They think that they should be able to cancel their "policy" and get back all the money they paid it. That would be a neat trick. Cancel your car insurance policy and demand a refund on all that you paid and see if you don't get laughed at.
If you damage your car, does your insurance company buy you a new car? No, they only pay to repair the damage.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
1. Social Security excess funds were used by the government in lieu of higher taxes to fund things the government was doing.
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That is an incredibly bizarre way of stating it. Government spent the surplus FICA tax revenues on things that never needed to be funded in the first place.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
2. Like it or not, that occurred for decades and no one complained.
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It's sort of poetically just.
What really happened...
1] Americans failed or refused to perform their duties and obligations as citizens and be responsibly vigilant concerning the affairs of government;
2] The majority of those who did participate did so only to advance their own personal agenda and satiate their own selfish needs;
3] Opportunity Cost has now raised its ugly head:
What is the [opportunity] cost of performing my duties and obligations as a citizen versus the [opportunity] cost of shirking my duties and sticking my head in the sand?
The answer is forthcoming....soon....and people are not going to like it, but hopefully they will learn a very valuable lesson (but I doubt it).
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
So, people may have paid their Social Security taxes, and believe they are entitled to the benefits they earned from the system, but they didn't pay enough taxes for other areas of government during that time period.
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Again, that is a really bizarre way of stating it. Government spent money it never needed to spend. There is not now, nor was there ever, any need for a Department of Education, nor was there ever a need for a Department of Housing & Urban Development, as examples.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
That being said..asking someone who is 61 to retire 1 month after 62 instead of at 62 isn't asking for a lot of that person. To say that you "can't" do that is simply untrue. You can, and it's a good gesture from the soon-to-be-retired to the rest of us who are making larger sacrifices from our expectations.
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What expectations?
You are responsible for ensuring that you have a pension plan, or that you are participating in your employer's 401(k) plan, and you are also responsible for ensuring that you have a personal retirement savings plan.
If, for whatever reason, you don't have those things (and that is neither here nor there), then the insurance plan known as Social Security kicks in. The purpose of Social Security is to ensure that older citizens are not sleeping under bridges or roaming around as bag-ladies and eating out of trash cans.
It was never intended that Social Security pay the 30-year mortgage on the $250,000 McMansion that you stupidly bought at age 60.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
I'm not saying to change it for a single person currently collecting. I think raising the early retirement age modestly, and the full benefits age modestly, has a pretty large impact when calculations are run. And most of those calcs were assuming changes only to those 55 and younger.
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In addition to being completely ineffective, that would be incredibly harmful to the future existence of Social Security. If you want to raise the early retirement age from 62 to 64 or 65 for those born after January 1, 1978, then that is fine, but that alone will not save Social Security.
There is a correlation between your labor force participation rate and the default date of the Trust Funds. As your labor force participation rate has steadily and slowly declined over the last decade, so too has the default date.
Note that by keeping older workers in the work-force longer, you bar new entrants to the work-force and in doing so, you harmfully skew their Salary Curve so that Social Security would collect even less revenues in the future, thereby guaranteeing its demise.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
Social Security should be a baseline sum of money for all of us to be able to have in retirement.
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That is not how Social Security was envisioned, planned or intended to function. What you're asking is also impossible. If you want proof, look out your window, read the newspapers, and peruse this Forum.
The question before you is simple:
Are you willing to accept a substantially lower standard of living and quality of life?
Understand that "substantially lower standard of living" means (in part) that many Americans, perhaps about 30% will have absolutely no choice whatsoever but share living accommodations with other families that are similarly situated. Yeah, I'm talking about two married couples each with two children sharing a 3-bedroom apartment.
Are you willing to do that?
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
I don't see why everyone can't sacrafice just a little. Those very close to retirement seem to be off limits, and I understand the logic, but to say we're changing it for everyone younger than 55 is a bit arbitrary also. My dad is 54, and if SS changes for him, that changes the next 8 years of his life not in a small way. Why not have people over 60 work something like 3 more months, or 6 more months, than inititally planned? Then start gradually pushing the retirement age a tad up for each year younger?
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Because that will effectively do nothing.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
Then, increase the cieling on taxable income for Social Security. it cuts off at $106,000ish right now, right? Why? What's the logic behind that?
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No, at $110,100.
I'm not sure you fully understand what it is that you are suggesting.
The majority of people have been brainwashed drinking the ******* federal minimum wage Kool-Aid.
Those people are so blind that they cannot see the reality that the cost-of-living varies dramatically in the US from State-to-State and often from city-to-city within a State. Unless and until those blind fools are willing to muster the courage to admit that the cost-of-living is not uniform, then the US is headed for disaster.
Those people falsely believe that everyone who makes $150,000 is "rich." That is simply not true. It is an outrageous lie. Some people who earn $150,000 are quite well off, but there are many who earn $150,000 and who have nothing and are worse off than someone earning $50,000 per year.
Why?
The cost-of-living.
Someone who earned $150,000
1] was paying $547/month in FICA taxes
2] will be paying $568/month under the cap
3] will be paying $775 under no cap
4] will be paying $1,504 under the 16.4% rate SSA suggests (with cap)
5] will be paying $2,050 under the 16.4% rate SSA suggests (with no cap)
Alright, so under the current cap increase, they are paying an additional $21 per month. That doesn't seem like much, except that is also $21 the States cannot collect Sales Tax on.
It doesn't matter? It does matter. At 7.5% that's only $1.50 but then times 1 Million that $1.5 Million in tax revenues a State cannot afford to lose. Why? Because that is actually a $3 Million loss for a State. The State just lost $1.5 Million in sales tax revenues, and now it must cut the budget by $1.5 Million to divert that to State, county and city government employee pension funds (so they don't collapse).
Y'all need to look at the big picture.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bradykp
It would be nice to see the calculated benefits fixed also. It's out of whack with real inflation
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No, it isn't. It's in perfect line with Real Inflation. Is it in line with Cost Inflation? No, but then that is not my problem. That is everyone elses' problem and everyone else needs to deal with it.
There is one and only one solution for Cost Inflation: STOP CONSUMING.
Everyone see how easy that is?
But I gotta have my NetFlix and X-Box games. Not my problem and I don't care. Sell one of your 5 cars, or stop throwing away money on corporate coffee at Starsucks, stop eating out at fast-food restaurants 37 times per week, or move in and share a 2-bedroom or 3-bedroom apartment with someone else.
If food price have gone up, then start buying cheaper cuts of meat. There is no law that says you have to buy boneless chicken breasts. You can buy bone-in breasts cheaper and de-bone them yourself. You can buy a whole chicken for even far less than that, and cut it up and de-bone the breasts yourself. You can eat gizzards and livers that are even cheaper.
You can't afford a rib-eye steak? Sucks for you, start buying flank and round steaks. You can throw some Bearnaise sauce on them.
But if we cut our consumption our economy will fall. That's right. See how that works? You people figure it out yet? No? You will soon enough.
Fundamentally...
Mircea