Nate Silver does a bang-up job analysizing the polling data on gay marriage, and teases-out a long term positive trend via geeky statistical analyses...and does this
state by state (scroll down in the link for a big table) based on available polling...
How Opinion on Same-Sex Marriage Is Changing, and What It Means
Quote:
Support for same-sex marriage is increasing — but is it doing so at a faster rate than in the past? Is it now safe to say that a majority approves it? How much of the shift is because people are changing their minds, as opposed to generational turnover? Is there still a gap between how well same-sex marriage performs in the polls and at the ballot booth? How many states would approve same-sex marriage today, and how many might do so by 2016?
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