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Old 09-28-2018, 08:46 AM
 
11,987 posts, read 5,313,263 times
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I’ve never heard of a pollster approaching someone on the street, unless you’re talking about exit polls.

It’s not just Republicans who don’t talk to pollsters. They have to call thousands of numbers to get a sample of a few hundred. If you doubt that, check out the New York Times congressional polls. In their poll of my district (KY-6), they had to call 29,946 numbers to get 506 respondents. That’s a response rate of 1.68%.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...ons-polls.html
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Old 09-28-2018, 08:55 AM
 
21,430 posts, read 7,483,237 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magaalot View Post
^ All polls are lower this year, because Trump supporters were still answering pollsters in 2016, but after the biased media coverage of 2017, far less likely that a Trump supporter will answer a pollster.
The media gets worse every year, so Trump supporters abandon pollsters more and more every year.
Sounds more like an excuse than a reason ...
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Old 09-28-2018, 09:14 AM
 
18,983 posts, read 9,101,887 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
LOL, you can't "hang up" on somebody on the street.

But as I said, democrats hang up on pollsters too, just as much as republicans.
I never pick up a number I don't recognize. Pretty much everyone I know does the same. I'd imagine there's lots of people on both sides of the aisle who do this.
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Old 09-28-2018, 09:20 AM
 
Location: My House
34,941 posts, read 36,318,210 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Naw, sugarpie. That's approval in Trumplandia.
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Old 10-01-2018, 03:30 PM
 
10,842 posts, read 4,388,002 times
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Trump's RealClearPolitics average hits 44.2
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...oval-6179.html
It was 40.8 on September 18th.
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Old 10-01-2018, 03:54 PM
 
26,580 posts, read 14,487,707 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magaalot View Post
Trump's RealClearPolitics average hits 44.2.

yep. he got a nice little bounce for a -8.2 rating.



my guess is that it will settle back down around 43.7 till the next fiasco.
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Old 10-01-2018, 04:09 PM
 
3,992 posts, read 2,465,420 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
yep. he got a nice little bounce for a -8.2 rating.



my guess is that it will settle back down around 43.7 till the next fiasco.
with a negative approval rating and an economy like this I'd be worried if I were a Trump supporter. Of course they'll somehow brag about this since it's an increase. however, once inevitable recession hits he'll crater...
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Old 10-01-2018, 04:32 PM
 
Location: alexandria, VA
16,352 posts, read 8,117,389 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Metsfan53 View Post
with a negative approval rating and an economy like this I'd be worried if I were a Trump supporter. Of course they'll somehow brag about this since it's an increase. however, once inevitable recession hits he'll crater...
A little bump in the road, say a 3 or 4 thousand point correction in the dow, and Trump's approval rating, such as it is, will take a nasty hit. Any other president with this economy, and who knew how to behave like a statesman and a decent human being, would have approval ratings in the 70s or 80s percentile.
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Old 10-01-2018, 04:38 PM
 
10,842 posts, read 4,388,002 times
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Trump won the 2016 election 304 to 227 despite having the lowest approval rating of any candidate since Bob Dole 1996.
So with his current approval rating he'll win by perhaps even more if an election was held today.
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Old 10-01-2018, 04:44 PM
 
Location: Florida
23,795 posts, read 13,298,024 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wrecking ball View Post
yep. he got a nice little bounce for a -8.2 rating.

my guess is that it will settle back down around 43.7 till the next fiasco.
The average of all polls is still 41.

Someone mentioned today it is 39 in Iowa, but I haven't checked that.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...atings/voters/
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