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Trump makes economic and national security progress. Enough Dem Senators seen as not going along, particularly in basically pin, red states and we could be looking at 57 - 60 Republican Senators. A lot of pieces have to line up in order for that to happen.
The opposite could be true. Disenchantment with Trump Admin & Republican Congress could lead to a flip in Congress.
Something spectacular would have to happen for the House to flip. In the Senate, things can change, but wben you look at the states that are actually up in 2018, it is really hard to point out which specific states beyond Arizona and Nevada that the Democrats might really hope to flip. At the same time, for the Democrats to hold the five seats in bright red states that Trump won by 19 points or more will require some sort of a minor miracle.
Something spectacular would have to happen for the House to flip. In the Senate, things can change, but wben you look at the states that are actually up in 2018, it is really hard to point out which specific states beyond Arizona and Nevada that the Democrats might really hope to flip. At the same time, for the Democrats to hold the five seats in bright red states that Trump won by 19 points or more will require some sort of a minor miracle.
We're pretty much stuck with the House GOP until 2022. By then, the country will be even more liberal.
After the GOP can no longer rig it, they will lose, of course.
"...55 percent of the nation's congressional districts were drawn to favor Republicans while only 10 percent were drawn to favor Democrats, with the balance drawn independently..."
Republicans need to pick up 8 seats in 2018 to hit 60 Senators which would allow full control of the legislature. Unless Trump bombs, and I think he's going to be fantastic, there is an excellent possibility the Republicans pick up those 8.
Then the Dems have a pretty good chance of picking up those seats
Which specific Republican held seats do you think the Democrats might pick up?
Also, of the five bright red seats that the Democrats are defending, that Trump won by 19 points or morw, which ones specifically do you believe they have a chance to hold?
Something spectacular would have to happen for the House to flip. In the Senate, things can change, but wben you look at the states that are actually up in 2018, it is really hard to point out which specific states beyond Arizona and Nevada that the Democrats might really hope to flip. At the same time, for the Democrats to hold the five seats in bright red states that Trump won by 19 points or more will require some sort of a minor miracle.
McCain out performed Trump by 4%. The last Democrat senator was in 1995 and he retired. His replacement was a Republican and then Flake now. There hasn't been a Dem senator from AZ in the last 21 years, pipe dream if you think it's going to happen in 2018.
McCain out performed Trump by 4%. The last Democrat senator was in 1995 and he retired. His replacement was a Republican and then Flake now. There hasn't been a Dem senator from AZ in the last 21 years, pipe dream if you think it's going to happen in 2018.
I am not saying it is. I am just observing that among the Republican controlled states that are up in 2018, next after Nevada, Arizona is the Dems best chance to flip one of those seats. After Arizona, the other Republican held states are harder still and realistically are probably not on the table.
I am not saying it is. I am just observing that among the Republican controlled states that are up in 2018, next after Nevada, Arizona is the Dems best chance to flip one of those seats. After Arizona, the other Republican held states are harder still and realistically are probably not on the table.
Nevada losing Reid is huge. Nevada will benefit from Trump's presidency and the new junior senator in Nevada will certainly be a republican.
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