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Here is some big, recent news that's completely gone under the radar. I suppose it's been overshadowed by other news, but even with all those other things going on, IMO it still deserved a lot more coverage in the media than it actually got. In fact, the only place I saw it was on Calculated Risk. If it hadn't been for that, I'm not sure I would have seen it anywhere else at all.
The common refrain among many on the right, and even some on the left, is that immigration - especially illegal immigration - is going to overwhelm, like, the whole country and blah blah blah. And the cities of the US will be teeming with Third World-type slums, and so on, and so forth.
But these newest Census long-term projections tell us that, contrary to popular belief, the US isn't going to grow much more at all.
Last Friday Census released new long-term projections of the US resident population, this time going out to 2100. The last time Census released long-term population projections was in 2017 (going out to 2060), and the 2023 projections for the “middle” scenario are massively lower than the 2017 projections.
Here is a chart showing the “middle-case” projections for the US resident population for the 2017 release compared to the 2023 release ...
Needless to say, these differences are “massive.”
The huge differences in the latest population projections from those in 2017 reflect (1) much lower projections for births; (2) higher projections for deaths; and (3) significantly lower projections for net international migration.
The Census Bureau's last projection, in 2017, showed the US growing continually to 2060, reaching a population of 404 million by then.
Now, given more recent data on births, deaths and immigration, they're projecting only a population of 364 million in 2060.
That's 40 million fewer than they thought just 6 years ago! In fact, in their middle scenario, they're projecting the US's population will begin shrinking after 2080! In that scenario, the population of the US will drop to 366 million by 2100. For reference, the population of the US is currently 334 million.
So, over the next 77 years, the population of the US will have grown only 9.6%!
Here is some big, recent news that's completely gone under the radar. I suppose it's been overshadowed by other news, but even with all those other things going on, IMO it still deserved a lot more coverage in the media than it actually got. In fact, the only place I saw it was on Calculated Risk. If it hadn't been for that, I'm not sure I would have seen it anywhere else at all.
The common refrain among many on the right, and even some on the left, is that immigration - especially illegal immigration - is going to overwhelm, like, the whole country and blah blah blah. And the cities of the US will be teeming with Third World-type slums, and so on, and so forth.
But these newest Census long-term projections tell us that, contrary to popular belief, the US isn't going to grow much more at all.
The Census Bureau's last projection, in 2017, showed the US growing continually to 2060, reaching a population of 404 million by then.
Now, given more recent data on births, deaths and immigration, they're projecting only a population of 364 million in 2060.
That's 40 million fewer than they thought just 6 years ago! In fact, in their middle scenario, they're projecting the US's population will begin shrinking after 2080! In that scenario, the population of the US will drop to 366 million by 2100. For reference, the population of the US is currently 334 million.
So, over the next 77 years, the population of the US will have grown only 9.6%!
Good. Our population is already one of the highest in the world. We don't need to keep accelerating the numbers by 100 million every 30-50 years or so just to meet some kind of economic growth quota.
If people say robotics and automation really are the future then we don't need to import as many people. Reduce the immigration amounts and focus more on helping the people already here. Of course that won't happen at the moment since Magoo's handlers are keen on demographically engineering the country for their benefit.
Like most developed countries, we're not having enough kids. I'm okay with young legal immigration that's been vetted.
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