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Old 07-15-2009, 08:35 AM
 
11,177 posts, read 16,034,174 times
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The inflation index (CPI-W) that is used for Social Security and federal retirement COLAs was released this morning and showed a 1.1% increase in June, but it is still negative for the year (-2.1%) with three more months to go. Here is a link to a chart to show how it has changed on a month-to-month basis:

National Active and Retired Federal Employees Association
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Old 07-15-2009, 10:40 AM
 
Location: DC Area, for now
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If it keeps going at the same rate, then there would be a small COLA for 2010 and the announced projections would be wrong.

Just goes to show how poor the predictions are ...
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Old 07-15-2009, 11:52 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tesaje View Post
If it keeps going at the same rate, then there would be a small COLA for 2010 and the announced projections would be wrong.

Just goes to show how poor the predictions are ...
Well, the predictions aren't wrong.......yet.

And in fact, if I had to bet my life savings on whether or not there will be a COLA next year, my money would be on "No."
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Old 07-15-2009, 12:01 PM
 
Location: DC Area, for now
3,517 posts, read 13,267,579 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MadManofBethesda View Post
Well, the predictions aren't wrong.......yet.

And in fact, if I had to bet my life savings on whether or not there will be a COLA next year, my money would be on "No."
True, but that would be a foolish bet. It is good that we don't have to bet! Economic predictions and CBO predictions are notoriously poor. Inflation has to come sometime after this mess, but it is anybody's guess whether it will be this year, next, or the year after that.
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Old 08-14-2009, 08:19 AM
 
11,177 posts, read 16,034,174 times
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The latest figures came out this morning and CPI-W dropped by .2%. That pretty much guarantees that there will not be a Social Security COLA increase in January. The overall figure is now a negative 2.3% with only two more months to go.

Looks like I would have won the bet.

Here is a link to the updated chart to show how it has changed on a month-to-month basis:

National Active and Retired Federal Employees Association[/quote]
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Old 08-14-2009, 08:22 AM
 
106,792 posts, read 109,020,929 times
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I-BONDS would actually have a negative return at this point if there was such a thing, they are holding at zero per cent interest right now for alot of them....

madman lets get that crystal ball out and the 2 of us will really make some money ha ha ha
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Old 08-14-2009, 09:41 AM
 
Location: Bayside, NY
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The government announced a few months back that there would be no SS Cola increases until 2012.
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Old 08-14-2009, 11:03 AM
 
Location: San Antonio Texas
11,431 posts, read 19,014,414 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by norm View Post
The government announced a few months back that there would be no SS Cola increases until 2012.
at a time when very good workers are making very minimal raises (if at all) or forced to take furloughs, i think that it is only fair that social security recipients share in the pain.
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Old 08-14-2009, 11:16 AM
 
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whats this thing called A RAISE?
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Old 08-14-2009, 11:19 AM
 
11,177 posts, read 16,034,174 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by norm View Post
The government announced a few months back that there would be no SS Cola increases until 2012.
Not true.

You misunderstood what was stated at the time.

Those were merely budgetary projections made on the assumption that there would not be any inflation until then. However, if the CPI-W unexpectedly spiked, then there would, in fact, be a corresponding COLA for Social Security.

There are no votes to be taken or decisions to be made. Everything is automatic based on the Consumer Price Index.
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