Winter 2014-2015 will be a cold one and early (hot, warm, record)

[pbmaise]

Australia's weather is a key factor in USA's Winters. A very hot Australia helps pull the Jet Stream down to the South and more Nordic winds come down through Canada.

Problems, problems.

Australia has been sunny and hot in the middle of their winter.
For example, in Sydney the July average maximum temperature of 19.0 °C, was 2.7 °C above the historical average. That is almost 5 degrees F. If that wasn't bad enough. Sydney recording 24 days of 18 °C or above, a new record for July beating last year’s July record of 23 days.

Then there is the problem of water. It has been very dry. The lowest rainfall since 1995. This means when their Summer comes there will be less soil moisture to evaporate. This spells a very hot Summer for Australia. Winds have to come down from the North to balance the winds rising over the Southern Hemisphere.


So now you know and no complaining. Prepare.

[flamingGalah!]

For the UK & Europe what happens in Australia & New Zealand is usually mirrored, so if they have a mild winter, we normally get a mild winter...

[irlinit]

^ I am happy for that tradition to hold true!

[P London]

Earth is more complex than that we may see an average or record cold winter...you never know is my slogan

[chicagogeorge]

CFSv2 latest came out yesterday.... Calls for average to above average fall, and well above average winter for much of North America (minus Mexico which is showing blue)...



Europe supposedly more or less normal with a couple of warm pockets and a couple of colder than normal pockets (E3 run)

[arctic_gardener]

Originally Posted by pbmaise

Australia's weather is a key factor in USA's Winters.

The US is huge. Which part of the country are you referring to?

[snj90]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

CFSv2 latest came out yesterday.... Calls for average to above average fall, and well above average winter for much of North America (minus Mexico which is showing blue)...

Gross. I thought it was supposed to be a cold winter.
We'll see... my intuition says it'll be a cold winter. And most sources have suggested the same so far, as far as I'm aware.

[Saritra]

Cold winter? Bring it on

[Infamous92]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

CFSv2 latest came out yesterday.... Calls for average to above average fall, and well above average winter for much of North America (minus Mexico which is showing blue)...



Europe supposedly more or less normal with a couple of warm pockets and a couple of colder than normal pockets (E3 run)

I really hope this materializes, but I generally pay no mind to long range forecasts until the season is in progress, and even then things can and do change.

[pbmaise]

The area of the US I focus on is from Minnesota to New York where friends and relatives live. The Alberta Clippers bring down the coldest of the air streams.

It will be a wait and see. Thank you ChicagoGeorge for those great graphs.

Philip