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Old 05-31-2015, 05:41 PM
 
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Old 05-31-2015, 05:49 PM
 
Location: Orcutt, CA (Santa Maria Valley)
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What will that mean for California in the winters?
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Old 05-31-2015, 06:11 PM
 
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Hmm, seems as the AMO in its negative phase will have more of an impact on the eastern U.S. and especially Western Europe. Also it will be interesting to see the interaction between a positive PDO (that we have now). However, the PDO too is supposed to go back to a negative phase in a couple of years at most


Quote:
Drought over north America has been correlated to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. The correlations account for the drought in the Great Plains during the 1930s dust bowl and more recent droughts.



Oceanic Influence on North American Drought


^^

Just precip data above but if you look at the years when we had a negative AMO and negative PDO we had cooler summers and cold winters (1960's and early 70's). Even when we had a negative AMO and positive PDO, in the late 70's and 80's our winters were cold here, but we had some scorching summers in the 1980's too.


Western Europe will see more low pressure systems and cooler summers with a negative AMO. Poisitve AMO's produce the opposite (more frequent heat).

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/1...6GL026242/full

http://www.browningnewsletter.com/wp...2013online.pdf


European winters during the negative phase of the AMO in the 1960's


http://weatheradvance.com/2013/04/21...o-next-winter/

Last edited by chicagogeorge; 05-31-2015 at 06:31 PM..
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Old 06-02-2015, 09:09 AM
 
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https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/s...52060290732032
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Old 06-02-2015, 09:16 AM
 
Location: Northern Ireland and temporarily England
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder98 View Post
What will that mean for California in the winters?
California is thousands of miles from the Atlantic.
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Old 06-02-2015, 09:17 AM
 
Location: Northern Ireland and temporarily England
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I am not surprised by this result. It has been a very cold summer so far.. Definitely not frequent.
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Old 06-02-2015, 09:18 AM
 
Location: Northern Ireland and temporarily England
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http://assets.weather-forecast.com/m...sstanomaly.jpg
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