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Australia's population will grow from 23 million to 42 million by 2050. That is a 45% increase, and is the highest is the developed world.
Cities is where much of the growth will be. On a per city basis, Sydney will grow from 4.6 million to 7.5 million by 2050, Melbourne will grow from 4 million to 6.5 million and Perth will grow from 1.9 million to 3.5 million.
Here are the statistics:
Birth rate: 1.89 births per woman
Net immigration: 315 700 increase per year
Urbanisation: 89%, with 1.2% increase per year. Australia is all about the cities, people don't want to be in the hot empty outback. This compares to a 82% urbanisation rate in the US, 81% in Canada, 79% in the UK and 73% in Germany.
Australia's population will grow from 23 million to 42 million by 2050. That is a 45% increase, and is the highest is the developed world.
I think that you meant to say 32 million.
But you are right about the population increase. Australia's immigration rate is higher than the USA, and death rate is lower. The birth rate of USA is a tiny bit higher, but not enough to balance the other two.
Actually Ireland is growing as fast as Australia because of a much higher birth rate (holdover of ca tholicism).
Also countries with strong religious beliefs like Israel, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia have very high birth rates.
Most of Africa. Population is exploding and it is up to the rest of the world to feed them!
Total Fertility Rates in Africa are very high
1.45 Southern --------- Europe
1.47 Eastern --------- Europe
1.53 Eastern --------- Asia
1.70 Western --------- Europe
1.82 Northern --------- Europe
2.01 Northern --------- America
2.01 South --------- America
2.14 Caribbean --------- America
2.20 Oceania --------- Asia
2.27 South-Eastern --------- Asia
2.30 Southern --------- Africa
2.34 Central --------- America
2.58 South-Central --------- Asia
2.64 Western --------- Asia
2.99 Northern --------- Africa
4.86 Middle --------- Africa
5.01 Eastern --------- Africa
5.16 Western --------- Africa
Some people are surprised at Eastern Asia, that they are as low as Europe.
The original post did try and limit the number of choices. Africa represents a demography alien to most people on this forum.
I tried to be consistent in using one database maintained by US census department. But I recognize that it does conflict with other sources of information. The US census has had very little luck in projecting population changes from one census to another, in the 1990's it couldn't have anticipated the illegal immigration.
Ukraine is usually the country of over 30 million that is losing population the fastest. Japan for a country over 100 million. Hungary was the first country to stabilize population in the modern era (circa 1981).
Italy is the largest country that will stabilize having nearly the same population in 2050.
Most of the larger countries will continue to get larger. Ranked by population change from 2013-2050 (according to database).
Change - Country - Population 2013
-15.75% Japan 127,253,075
-11.84% Germany 81,147,265
-8.84% Russia 142,500,482
-3.40% China 1,349,585,838
...
12.24% United Kingdom 63,395,574
15.57% Brazil 201,009,622
19.52% Indonesia 251,160,124
20.22% Vietnam 92,477,857
25.11% Turkey 80,694,485
25.28% Iran 79,853,900
27.26% Mexico 116,220,947
33.44% United States 316,668,567
...
35.69% India 1,220,800,359
50.51% Pakistan 193,238,868
52.86% Bangladesh 163,654,860
61.64% Egypt 85,294,388
62.66% Philippines 105,720,644
....
91.78% Congo(Kinshasa) 75,507,308
130.61% Nigeria 174,507,539
142.94% Ethiopia 93,877,025
145.71% Tanzania 48,261,942
168.93% Uganda 34,758,809
Many people are surprised to know that Latin America is stabilizing, albeit not for decades. The USA will become the population growth leader in the Western Hemisphere (still fueled by immigration)
Those percentages for Africa are off the chart, scary stuff
They can't feed the population they have now
Total Fertility Rates in Africa are very high
1.45 Southern --------- Europe
1.47 Eastern --------- Europe
1.53 Eastern --------- Asia
1.70 Western --------- Europe
1.82 Northern --------- Europe
2.01 Northern --------- America
2.01 South --------- America
2.14 Caribbean --------- America
2.20 Oceania --------- Asia
2.27 South-Eastern --------- Asia
2.30 Southern --------- Africa
2.34 Central --------- America
2.58 South-Central --------- Asia
2.64 Western --------- Asia
2.99 Northern --------- Africa
4.86 Middle --------- Africa
5.01 Eastern --------- Africa
5.16 Western --------- Africa
Some people are surprised at Eastern Asia, that they are as low as Europe.
The original post did try and limit the number of choices. Africa represents a demography alien to most people on this forum.
At the same time though, many of those Africans don't make it past age 55, right?
But you are right about the population increase. Australia's immigration rate is higher than the USA, and death rate is lower. The birth rate of USA is a tiny bit higher, but not enough to balance the other two.
Actually Ireland is growing as fast as Australia because of a much higher birth rate (holdover of ca tholicism).
Also countries with strong religious beliefs like Israel, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia have very high birth rates.
The math appears to be the wrong way round, if you round the percentage to whole numbers 23 million is 55% of 42 Million, thus you you need another 45% of 42 million to get 100% of total.
But you are right about the population increase. Australia's immigration rate is higher than the USA, and death rate is lower. The birth rate of USA is a tiny bit higher, but not enough to balance the other two.
Actually Ireland is growing as fast as Australia because of a much higher birth rate (holdover of ca tholicism).
Also countries with strong religious beliefs like Israel, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia have very high birth rates.
It looks like this is where the estimate came from, a growth of about 83%, which seems very high, I don't thing we are going to maintain nett immigration above 300,000 people a year for that long.
Which of course will hardly be a crises at all compared to the rest of the world.
Last edited by danielsa1775; 11-07-2013 at 12:38 AM..
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This compares to a 82% urbanisation rate in the US, 81% in Canada, 79% in the UK and 73% in Germany.
