15 Largest Cities by 2046? (state, rates, places, populations)
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This is from 2018 but thought it an interesting topic. Do you agree with the projections? If not feel free to post your opinions of what the rankings should be. https://www.cheatsheet.com/culture/t...-in-2046.html/
This is from 2018 but thought it an interesting topic. Do you agree with the projections? If not feel free to post your opinions of what the rankings should be. https://www.cheatsheet.com/culture/t...-in-2046.html/
I don't agree with the math for Chicago. How do they say it's going to experience an 8% population increase by 2046 yet the graphic shows the city losing 700K+ people?
I've done metro statistics for 36 years. Just out of the gate, they're interchanging city/metro, uggg. Their clearly ignoring many, MANY things that will adversely affect populations in CA, especially over a 25 year time frame. It's happening as we speak. Their rates of increase have dramatically gone down and will continue to do so due to it very oppressive state policies and social problems. Too many factors come into play to make projections that far out come even remotely close to being accurate. So, no, I don't think they're accurate.
So the LA metro are will be the largest in the country. There's no reason that LA and Riverside should be considered separate metro areas. Anyone who has driven between the two knows it's contiguous urban area. Plus another million in Ventura county. NYC looks flat to 2046.
It looks right to me but it's almost a certainty that, Boston, Seattle, San Francisco, Washington D.C and L.A adds at least one or two more adjoining counties each by 2046. When you factor that in the list will certainly change. The question will become whether the added counties will allow L.A to pass up NYC, will allow SF-SJ to break 10,000,000, will enable Washington D.C to elevate itself above Miami and Atlanta (I don't think it will merge with Baltimore by 2046 either growth just isn't strong enough on the Maryland side imho).Boston can see nearly it's entire CSA become part of it's MSA outside of Providence, Laconia and Concord imho. I think theirs's also a good chance Bristol County, MA eventually get's poached as well. Seattle will probably become it's CSA by 2046, a bridge/underwater tunnel to Kitsap County and eventual sprawl to Olympia is almost a certainty. SF and the bay is merging into one MSA by 2046, Stockton, and other far flung places I don't think will happen unless tech starts leading to actual 100,000-200,000 people per year growth.
I've done metro statistics for 36 years. Just out of the gate, they're interchanging city/metro, uggg. Their clearly ignoring many, MANY things that will adversely affect populations in CA, especially over a 25 year time frame. It's happening as we speak. Their rates of increase have dramatically gone down and will continue to do so due to it very oppressive state policies and social problems. Too many factors come into play to make projections that far out come even remotely close to being accurate. So, no, I don't think they're accurate.
YES, that drove me crazy! They mention "city rankings" then rank the metro areas. Uh, not how it works LOL
Also, the "Atlanta image" is not even Atlanta. Looks like Denver?
These major errors make the predictions far less believable.
Wouldn't LA and San Bernardino-Riverside metros actually merge by then into one MSA? If thats the case, that would make LA the largest metro area in the US.
Wouldn't LA and San Bernardino-Riverside metros actually merge by then into one MSA? If thats the case, that would make LA the largest metro area in the US.
Then Philly would merge with NY.
If anything I would think Riverside is the metro that is overestimated the most in the list
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