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Old 07-01-2014, 05:11 PM
 
Location: NC
2,023 posts, read 3,243,508 times
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Tropical Storm Arthur forms, expected to impact ENC | News - WCTI NewsChannel 12

EASTERN CAROLINA -
The first named storm of the the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season has formed, and it is expected to impact Eastern Carolina later this week. Tropical Depression 1 became Tropical Storm Arthur offshore of the Central Florida Atlantic Coast at about 11 a.m. Tuesday, according to the National Weather Service. Its location was 27.6°N 79.3°W.

According to the NWS, Arthur is moving northwest at 2 mph and has wind speeds of up to 40 mph. Its pressure is 1007 mb.

The NWS reports Tropical Storm Arthur will meander along the Florida coast Tuesday, lifting northeast along the southeast coast late Wednesday and Thursday.

Arthur is expected to impact Eastern Carolina starting Thursday afternoon, bringing rain, wind and rough surf.

It can potentially become a hurricane around Thursday afternoon to Thursday night.

On late Thursday afternoon into early Friday morning, the strongest winds look like they will stay out over the ocean. But Ocracoke and points east of Highway 17 are expected to have the most impact from the system.

Arthur is expected to be gone from the area by the afternoon on the Fourth of July.

POTENTIAL IMPACT:

1 to 3-foot water level rises along the Outer Banks, especially the mouth of the Neuse River.

Heavy downpours, from 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, more so east of Highway 17.

35 mph to 55 mph gusts

Hope everyone is prepared!!!
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Old 07-02-2014, 09:06 AM
 
385 posts, read 730,840 times
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Down here at Ocean Isle Beach... everything is OK now.

The in-laws came far from Louisiana and they're ready to pack up go to our home in Charlotte. They don't play when it comes to hurricanes.

I've told them that we're good for now. Hopefully this will be another overhyped weather event.
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Old 07-02-2014, 09:38 AM
 
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Anyone know how bad it's supposed to be in Wilmington and when it's supposed to hit?
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Old 07-02-2014, 09:44 AM
 
Location: Sneads Ferry, NC
13,375 posts, read 27,097,289 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by capnb View Post
Anyone know how bad it's supposed to be in Wilmington and when it's supposed to hit?
It is only a probability now, but Thursday afternoon and evening it will be raining and windy. The models show the eye passing over the Outer Banks or further east. In Sneads Ferry, we are not evacuating. We are just moving plants and furniture off the porch so they won't blow around. Surf City is postponing the firework show from Thursday evening to August 29th.

I get my news from WCTI12.com in Greenville. This is the Wilmington Channel 6: WECT TV6: News and Weather for Wilmington, NC; WECT.com - WECT TV6-WECT.com:News, weather & sports Wilmington, NC
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Old 07-02-2014, 10:43 AM
 
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National Hurricane Center

The #1 source!
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Old 07-02-2014, 01:06 PM
 
Location: Morehead City, NC
1,681 posts, read 6,035,035 times
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Here's a spiffy website with plenty of models and charts.
Hurricane Spaghetti Models / Spaghetti Charts / Tropical Forecast / Hurricane Charts Models / Tropical Update
Hurricanes tend to get fickle once inside the Gulf Stream and into shallower waters.
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Old 07-02-2014, 08:05 PM
LLN
 
Location: Upstairs closet
5,265 posts, read 10,744,483 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Hitchcock View Post
Here's a spiffy website with plenty of models and charts.
Hurricane Spaghetti Models / Spaghetti Charts / Tropical Forecast / Hurricane Charts Models / Tropical Update
Hurricanes tend to get fickle once inside the Gulf Stream and into shallower waters.
The "cone" has been trending west all day, though the NHC has kept the path to the eastern side of the prob cone.

Bill is right, once they get over the shallow water, poop happens. That Cat 1 several years ago, kicked our butt since it stalled over shallow water.

Many hours of cat 1 is not good.

I am betting the 11:00pm moves the track significantly west. In hurricanes, even Cat 1, the trend is NOT. Your friend!
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Old 07-03-2014, 09:07 AM
 
Location: Durm
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Thinking of you all! Storm surge is not fun. Lots of potential for wobble in that cone.
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Old 07-03-2014, 10:12 AM
 
Location: NC
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CNN is predicting Arthur will be a CAT 2 when it hits NC. Stay safe everyone!

Arthur could deliver dangerous rip currents to N.C. - CNN.com
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Old 07-03-2014, 12:25 PM
 
Location: Mid-Atlantic east coast
7,149 posts, read 12,695,855 times
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We're dead center in the eye of this storm, located int the Southern Outer Banks (SOBX). We've done all the prep, everything is nailed down, or brought inside. Our living room looks like a greenhouse, all the container plants nestled there.

We took care of the neighbors' property who are away. Nothing remains outside that can fly around, break a window.

We've stocked the water, the batteries, the ice, the oil lamps, the beer, wine, lunch meats, snacks, and books ready to read (maybe by the light of the oil lamps).

The car is gassed up.

The hardest part now is the wating.

We've still 7 hours or so before it's predicted to get nasty.

So we wait and wonder.

Hope the rain is spread out so we don't get flooded. 5- 6 inches may be too much for the ground to absorb if it falls too fast-- and then we may get water in the house.

Wishing all of you a safe voyage through Arthur.

The waiting is tough.
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