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Officials at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and epidemic experts from universities around the world conferred last month about what might happen if the new coronavirus gained a foothold in the United States. How many people might die? How many would be infected and need hospitalization?
"Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.
And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the United States could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill."
"Dr. Lawler recently presented his own “best guess” projections to American hospital and health system executives at a private webinar convened by the American Hospital Association. He estimated that some 96 million people in the United States would be infected. Five out of every hundred would need hospitalization, which would mean close to five million hospital admissions, nearly two million of those patients requiring intensive care and about half of those needing the support of ventilators."
Those numbers are shocking. Without panicking how are we as a nation going to handle that?
China basically shut off a city to prevent the spread. I highly doubt that will happen here.
Go peruse Facebook and twitter and see how many people are outraged that major events have been cancelled. Imagine telling them they can't travel outside their state ?
Even places like the Dollar Tree looked packed. I wasn't going there, so my only options would have been Walmart, Aldi's, or a regular grocery store. I'm sure all were packed. I think just about every kid was home today as some schools had their last day of spring break today, and others had their first day today. So all the parents home with their kids probably contributed to the stores being mobbed.
I was at Dollar Tree today (buying fake flowers of all things) and it wasn’t crowded at all. So weird how much things differ! I don’t think our schools have closed yet, I’ve had to stop for a couple busses a couple times the last few days.
On some level, focus on whats in your control. Wash your hands, stay away from sick people, and if you feel sick stay home. Also recognize that there seems to be a concentrated effort by certain people to and scare us more than is warranted.
There's nothing any of us can do about potential death rate, how fast vaccines arrive, or how many people might get the virus. Take simple precautions and dont obsess over it.
Is it just me or does it seem the areas/people affected by this are more affluent than the average US citizen?
In some ways, that would make sense as people in those areas either have business or leisure travel that would take them abroad where the virus originated.
The rates are low or non-existent (West Virginia, Alabama currently) in poorer states that would have fewer people with a reason or the means to be traveling to hard hit areas in Asia or Europe.
Officials at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and epidemic experts from universities around the world conferred last month about what might happen if the new coronavirus gained a foothold in the United States. How many people might die? How many would be infected and need hospitalization?
"Between 160 million and 214 million people in the United States could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.
And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the United States could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill."
"Dr. Lawler recently presented his own “best guess” projections to American hospital and health system executives at a private webinar convened by the American Hospital Association. He estimated that some 96 million people in the United States would be infected. Five out of every hundred would need hospitalization, which would mean close to five million hospital admissions, nearly two million of those patients requiring intensive care and about half of those needing the support of ventilators."
Is it just me or does it seem the areas/people affected by this are more affluent than the average US citizen?
In some ways, that would make sense as people in those areas either have business or leisure travel that would take them abroad where the virus originated.
The rates are low or non-existent (West Virginia, Alabama currently) in poorer states that would have fewer people with a reason or the means to be traveling to hard hit areas in Asia or Europe.
Air travelers were the initial carriers so it’s not surprising the outbreaks are all near major hubs for travel to Asia. As the epidemic spreads the next clusters will be along major interstate trucking routes and domestic airport hubs. People in Bumdiddle, NM living at the end of a gravel road probably won’t see any cases.
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