Romney Set to Dominate Race Through April (Ron Paul, voters, Republicans)
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Three of the four candidates for the Republican presidential nomination -- Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul -- might soon agree with T.S. Eliot: for them, April may indeed be “the cruelest month.”
That’s because their front-running rival, Mitt Romney, appears poised to further pad his lead in delegates in upcoming Republican nomination contests, starting with Illinois next Tuesday and through a northeastern primary day on April 24.
Thanks for posting this. The reality is, if one assumed Santorum would gain favor with evangelicals, there was no reason to conclude Romney would be past the 40% delgate requirement before April. That is the reason hs is nearly a lock now; he not only withered the more difficult part of the schedule for him, he amassed more delegates than the other 3 put together during the period least favorable to him.
Romney will never set foot in the Oval Office as anything other than a guest.
The group of Republicans all but tripping over one another in their efforts to endlessly promote a candidate that all but guarantees their party will lose the general election would be amusing were their misguided efforts not almost sure to give us another 4 yrs of Obama.
Great job Romneybots...thanks so much for doing everything possible to ensure our further demise. At least we'll know who to blame as Obama continues to destroy the nation.
You're welcome, and here is reality for you. At every juncture, Romney has fared far better head-to-head vs Obama, than the 3 clowns trailing him. I'm not talking any single poll, but looking at them in aggregate.
Its conceivable that Obama vs Santorum or Newt could lead to More electoral votes for Obama in 2012, than he got in 2008. Paul would be fortunate to win 5 states.
Puerto Rico - Romney
Illinois - Romney
Louisiana - Santorum
DC - Romney
Maryland - Romney
Wisconsin - Santorum
Connecticut - Romney
Delaware - Romney
Pennsylvania - Santorum
Rhode Island - Romney
New York - Romney
(pressure starts to mount on Newt and Santorum and their followers start to trickle away)
Indiana - Romney
North Carolina - Romney
West Virginia - Santorum
Oregon - Romney
Nebraska - Romney
(calls grow louder for Santorum to step aside)
They are listed in chronological order.
That's a bold guess for Indiana I think, but I could be wrong. Admittedly I'm just stereotyping it as being similar to other Midwestern states. I do hope Romney wins.
Fortunately, I think the predictions Rasmussen makes are somewhat off since they don't account for momentum. Once Romney is starting to win every contest, inevitability-mode will set in again, and there are few opportunities for Santorum to change that with an upset. I even think Pennsylvania will tighten up. That may be Romney's opportunity to try to shut out Santorum, by winning in PA. That would definitely not be easy, or likely, but that should definitely end it. Even if he keeps Santorum's margin of victory down, he can move past it pretty unscathed.
You're welcome, and here is reality for you. At every juncture, Romney has fared far better head-to-head vs Obama, than the 3 clowns trailing him. I'm not talking any single poll, but looking at them in aggregate.
Its conceivable that Obama vs Santorum or Newt could lead to More electoral votes for Obama in 2012, than he got in 2008. Paul would be fortunate to win 5 states.
Projection vs reality. Get back to me when Romney beats Obama and I'll gladly admit I was wrong and apologize for my inaccurate projections.
Until such time as Romney is sworn into office after having beaten Obama your statements are every bit as based upon statistics that may or may not be accurate as mine.
Whether the future proves me correct or not, for the time being I'll stick by my belief that electing another version of Obama will ultimately do little to motivate swing voters to flock to the polls in support of the (at best) marginal candidate. Romney will not win without the support of those voters.
Time will tell which of us is correct.
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