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Old 09-24-2012, 12:00 PM
 
46,951 posts, read 25,990,037 times
Reputation: 29442

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
MOE is tied to a confidence interval. Say it is 95% for this poll. That means that there is only a 5% chance that the poll is off by 5 points. In other words, less than a 1 in 20 chance that the poll is that wrong and that Romney takes Ohio. Romney supporters will take that! LOL.
Bears repeating. Tons of people appear to think that "margin of error" means that the poll could be anywhere within the MOE with equal probability.

 
Old 09-24-2012, 12:04 PM
 
1,692 posts, read 1,960,091 times
Reputation: 1190
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
Find comfort where you can.
That's the way I've started to look at these deluded posters. I remember Kerry in 04, and just believing that he'd win until the very end despite the polls. So I get it. I'm not going to be too hard on them because it's tough to see your guy sliding to such a stunning defeat.

RealClearPolitics - Latest Polls <-- awash in a sea of blue

Drudge is funny, because it's clear that he either A) despises Obama, or B) Doesn't care, but knows how to rile up the base. I'm leaning towards B, because he's slimy like that.
 
Old 09-24-2012, 12:16 PM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,955,298 times
Reputation: 1297
Here are today's swing state polls, so far:

Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)
Florida: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (American Research Group)
Iowa: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)
Michigan: Obama 54%, Romney 42% (Rasmussen)
North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Civitas)
Nevada: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (American Research Group)
Wisconsin: Obama 53%, Romney 41% (We Ask America)

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/09/24/latest_swing_state_polls.html
 
Old 09-24-2012, 12:20 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,078 posts, read 51,231,444 times
Reputation: 28324
Romney is on a bus tour and having a media blitz in Ohio this week. Obama is bracketing him before and after the UN gathering. If Romney is unable to move the needle back in his favor when the polls come in next week, you can stick in the fork.
 
Old 09-24-2012, 12:35 PM
 
Location: South Carolina
8,145 posts, read 6,531,599 times
Reputation: 1754
RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Yep its trending romney
 
Old 09-24-2012, 12:42 PM
 
Location: South Carolina
8,145 posts, read 6,531,599 times
Reputation: 1754
More good romney news

Poll: Obama up by five points in Ohio – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs
 
Old 09-24-2012, 12:49 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,078 posts, read 51,231,444 times
Reputation: 28324
Over 50% and this before the slandering of 1/2 of hard working Americans a heck of alot of whom likely live in Ohio.
 
Old 09-24-2012, 01:53 PM
 
Location: Manhattan
1,196 posts, read 839,009 times
Reputation: 442
UnSkewed Polls -- erasing the bias to show an accurate picture of politics
 
Old 09-24-2012, 02:22 PM
 
Location: East Fallowfield, PA
2,299 posts, read 4,826,881 times
Reputation: 1176
Partisan wishful thinking!!
Conservatives Embrace Alternate Polling Reality
 
Old 09-24-2012, 02:38 PM
 
46,951 posts, read 25,990,037 times
Reputation: 29442
And here we have it. The Manic Right simply insists on living in their own reality.
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