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Obama leads Romney, 50 percent to 43 percent. That matches his lead from the April 21-26 period, right after the general election began as Romney virtually locked up the Republican nomination.
Obama's 7-point lead is up from 6 points on Tuesday. Romney dropped a point day to day.
Obama's approval rating is also up in the latest daily tracking numbers. His approval rating hit 51 percent, above the 50-percent threshold that usually ensures re-election for incumbents. His disapproval rating is also down a point to 42 percent.
WaPo/ABC poll shows no change in race from before convention
Quote:
Maybe this will stop the silly post-convention panic among Republicans. When the Washington Post/ABC poll tells you there’s been no convention bump for Barack Obama, you can pretty much take that to the bank. Their latest survey shows the likely-voter split in the presidential race right where we found it a fortnight ago, with Obama up one single point over Mitt Romney — in a sample that favors the Democrats:
Quote:
We’re less than 60 days out. Registered-voter samples don’t mean much at this stage of the election; it’s likely voters that provide predictive data from surveys. They mean even less when only 26% in the sample are Republicans. The likely voter sample improves that by a point to 27%, but still has a D+6 D/R/I at 33/27/36. The 2010 midterms had a national turnout D/R/I of 35/35/30; the 2008 election was D+7 at 39/32/29. A GOP turnout of 27% would be among the worst ever in a presidential race, if not a record. Since enthusiasm measures in other surveys, notably Gallup’s, show an enthusiasm gap favoring Republicans, I’m not inclined to buy this poll’s likely-voter split as a model for this election.
Also, the internals for Obama even among RVs are hardly cheery. His job approval hasn’t budged since before the conventions. Three weeks ago, it was 47/50, and now it’s 48/50. On the economy, he went from 43/56 to 45/53. Among independents, Obama’s job approval is 45/50 with 37% strongly disapproving. That’s probably why Romney’s beating Obama among likely independent voters by eleven points, 54/43. Obama won independents by eight in 2008 on his way to a seven point victory overall. That’s a 19-point swing among independents.
In other words, the convention had no real impact at all on the race. That’s why I say “I told you so” in my column for The Week:
Yeah, you heard it right from the Right Wing Conservative News Channel's mouth. Had to post this one after reading a post from the Righties on how dismal it looks for Obama's Re-election. Note, much of the bounce is from the Independent Voters.
The polls have now widened up by eight points which is so large even Fox Noise couldn't continue to lie about it. The poor wing nuts have already started to turn on each other trying to find someone to blame for Romney's looming defeat.
It's just random numbers being made up on the fly. Obama currently has a lead, mostly due to the idiot move Romney's camp made regarding the Libya thing.
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