Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
 
Old 11-04-2012, 05:48 AM
 
Location: Maryland
18,630 posts, read 19,429,643 times
Reputation: 6462

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by buzzards27 View Post
You playing the polls angle again??? I thought your end game would be the outrageous gas prices Obama caused angle. Lol, I just bought gas last nite for $3.07 without any discounts.

You keep telling yourself that Ohio is red in 2012. You might as well enjoy that thought for another day or so.

Ohio slipped away the day mittens introduced his Jeep jobs to China lies. That lie is the number one factor I hear with ppl the last week coming into the OFA offices. Mittens motivated ppl away from him.

Ohio by 2.5% and Obama with 333.
Keep thinking that it only impacts the union hicks in Toledo who weren't voting for him anyway.

 
Old 11-04-2012, 06:02 AM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,956,413 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by lol-its-good4U View Post
Polls are just BS, look what happened in the 1980 election the so-called polls had Carter ahead and Reagan won in a landslide. Can't forget as that was my first election I voted in.
Learn some history. The majority of polls, and the aggregate of all polls at any given time, had Reagan leading all the way from June to Election Day.

Exploding The Reagan 1980 Comeback Myth | The New Republic

 
Old 11-04-2012, 06:14 AM
 
Location: Sango, TN
24,868 posts, read 24,403,011 times
Reputation: 8672
Quote:
Originally Posted by lol-its-good4U View Post
Well I remember the polls at the time, maybe they were adjusted afterwards or something because I remember being shocked that by a very early time the networks declared Reagan won the presidency.

This is only about polls which I don't think much about which is all over this forum me saying so, so why would I make it up?
GOP 101, when facts don't fit your message, ignore reality and replace it with your own.
 
Old 11-04-2012, 06:20 AM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,838,522 times
Reputation: 1512
Quote:
Originally Posted by EdwardA View Post
One of the most accurate of the state. PA outside of Philly is a red state. Obamas only hope is running up the margin in Philly because the suburbs there are tightening.
in pa 42 of the last 43 polls have obama leading, with this 47 47 poll being the only one with him not leading. you run with this poll saying romney is going to win now? and dismiss the other 42? hilarious.
 
Old 11-04-2012, 06:37 AM
 
1,259 posts, read 1,585,972 times
Reputation: 1085
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
in pa 42 of the last 43 polls have obama leading, with this 47 47 poll being the only one with him not leading. you run with this poll saying romney is going to win now? and dismiss the other 42? hilarious.
Romney and Obama in dead heat in latest Michigan poll - Fox 2 News Headlines

new poll out of Michigan showing Romney leading now as well. pundits and people on here, have been telling u lib-tards for months that it will be about turn-out, and the undecideds breaking for Romney. They always break for the Challenger
 
Old 11-04-2012, 06:39 AM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,956,413 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
in pa 42 of the last 43 polls have obama leading, with this 47 47 poll being the only one with him not leading. you run with this poll saying romney is going to win now? and dismiss the other 42? hilarious.
When reality is unpleasant, there are two options:
a) accept the reality and address it, or
b) deny it, and live in a fantasy world

Nate Silver did a historical analysis recently of every state that was polled at least three times within the last 10 days of a Presidential election. The aggregate of those polls almost always successfully predicted the winner, with the largest aggregate margin ever overcome for a victory being 3.5%. The second largest? A mere 1.3%. Here's the associated chart:

Oct. 26: State Poll Averages Usually Call Election Right - NYTimes.com

That information is there for anyone interested in it. But a lot of people who desperately want to believe something else will find all sorts of ways to dismiss it. Just because they find the data unpleasant.
 
Old 11-04-2012, 07:16 AM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,838,522 times
Reputation: 1512
Quote:
Originally Posted by tread102 View Post
Romney and Obama in dead heat in latest Michigan poll - Fox 2 News Headlines

new poll out of Michigan showing Romney leading now as well. pundits and people on here, have been telling u lib-tards for months that it will be about turn-out, and the undecideds breaking for Romney. They always break for the Challenger
this is the same pollster that had romney up 15 in august in florida, and romney up 4 in mich. ill pay attention when i see a reputable pollster with michigan tied. you posting a mickey mouse poll isnt going to change my mind.
 
Old 11-04-2012, 07:19 AM
 
1,259 posts, read 1,585,972 times
Reputation: 1085
Quote:
Originally Posted by gtc08 View Post
this is the same pollster that had romney up 15 in august in florida, and romney up 4 in mich. ill pay attention when i see a reputable pollster with michigan tied. you posting a mickey mouse poll isnt going to change my mind.
the pollster is actually a democratic firm. look at on realclearpolitics
 
Old 11-04-2012, 07:20 AM
 
Location: West Egg
2,160 posts, read 1,956,413 times
Reputation: 1297
Quote:
Originally Posted by tread102 View Post
Romney and Obama in dead heat in latest Michigan poll - Fox 2 News Headlines

new poll out of Michigan showing Romney leading now as well. pundits and people on here, have been telling u lib-tards for months that it will be about turn-out, and the undecideds breaking for Romney. They always break for the Challenger
Actually, they don't.

But don't let... you know -- actual data... get in the way of what you really, really, really want to believe.

Do Presidential Polls Break Toward Challengers? - NYTimes.com
 
Old 11-04-2012, 07:29 AM
 
3,620 posts, read 3,838,522 times
Reputation: 1512
Quote:
Originally Posted by tread102 View Post
the pollster is actually a democratic firm. look at on realclearpolitics
doesnt mean its a poll anybody should pay attention to. look at the methodology of that poll.

michigan 2012 presidential general election historical turnout participation percentage
black: 17.49
white: 74.51
hispanic: 2.68

now look at the people who answered the poll
black: 8.05
white: 86.25
hispanic: 1.73


way oversampled whites, undersampled blacks and latinos.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Closed Thread


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top