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Nate Silver is a paid DNC operative and his opinion is worthless. Posting a link to him in support of what you're saying actually detracts from whatever you're trying to prove.
Nate Silver is a paid DNC operative and his opinion is worthless. Posting a link to him in support of what you're saying actually detracts from whatever you're trying to prove.
Since you provided no cite. I am going to take this as your opinion. Here are the facts.
The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictions—he correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states—won Silver further attention and commendation. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Barack Obama by 1%. He also correctly predicted the winner of all 35 Senate races that year.
Interdasting. Since NC, VA, and FL are locks for Rmoney, what happens if WI, NH, and CO are also won by Rmoney?
It's far more complicated than that. For Obama to even win Pennsylvania he has to get record numbers out in the East. It's certainly not a given that will happen. There are polls out now saying it isn't going to happen.
We saw many of the earlier polls based upon 2008 or polling (D)'s by a larger amount than will likely actually turn out. The tightening of the polls have more to do with the polls wanting to try and get more accurate as the election nears as opposed to people actually moving to Romney.
If Pa doesn't get this turn out and Romney wins it, he only needs one other medium sized state to win the election.
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