Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:39 AM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,963,327 times
Reputation: 7458

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by bobtn View Post
I agree, and I'd also bet WI will go Obama, as will Iowa.

So yes, Romney's path requires Ohio.
Wisconsin will not vote for Obama again.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:44 AM
 
Location: Crooklyn, New York
32,119 posts, read 34,767,213 times
Reputation: 15093
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Wisconsin will not vote for Obama again.
The Badger State is "Likely Obama."

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:45 AM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
20,054 posts, read 18,297,652 times
Reputation: 3826
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Wisconsin will not vote for Obama again.
I totally see WI, CO, and NH in Rmoney's slot. Ohio and Penn aren't necessary by any means.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:46 AM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
20,054 posts, read 18,297,652 times
Reputation: 3826
Quote:
Originally Posted by BajanYankee View Post
Obama winning WI requires HUGE turnout from the Belarus of the Midwest, Madison.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:54 AM
 
12,436 posts, read 11,957,777 times
Reputation: 3159
Quote:
Originally Posted by summers73 View Post
Obama winning WI requires HUGE turnout from the Belarus of the Midwest, Madison.

This election is all about turnout. If the turnout is the same as 08, Obama wins. If it is less, Romney wins, but all roads lead through Ohio.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 10:59 AM
 
12,638 posts, read 8,963,327 times
Reputation: 7458
Quote:
Originally Posted by BajanYankee View Post
Nate Silver is a paid DNC operative and his opinion is worthless. Posting a link to him in support of what you're saying actually detracts from whatever you're trying to prove.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:01 AM
 
Location: Waltham, MA
235 posts, read 276,576 times
Reputation: 81
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Wisconsin will not vote for Obama again.

Check out RCP - Wisconsin.

From the last 14 polls, Obama is up. I am not sure, on what basis you are saying Wi si not going for Obama...

Quote:
Originally Posted by summers73 View Post
I totally see WI, CO, and NH in Rmoney's slot. Ohio and Penn aren't necessary by any means.
I agree CO and NH might go to Romney. But like i said in other threads, they are not even in equation..

All Obama needs is Ohio, Wisconsin and IA/Nevada. PA and MI looks blue, so thats the path to 270+ for Obama
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:05 AM
 
12,436 posts, read 11,957,777 times
Reputation: 3159
Quote:
Originally Posted by Trace21230 View Post
Nate Silver is a paid DNC operative and his opinion is worthless. Posting a link to him in support of what you're saying actually detracts from whatever you're trying to prove.
Since you provided no cite. I am going to take this as your opinion. Here are the facts.

The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictions—he correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states—won Silver further attention and commendation. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Barack Obama by 1%. He also correctly predicted the winner of all 35 Senate races that year.

The 2009 TIME 100 - TIME
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:15 AM
 
Location: 44.9800° N, 93.2636° W
2,654 posts, read 5,765,102 times
Reputation: 888
xkcd: Electoral Precedent
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-19-2012, 11:22 AM
 
79,907 posts, read 44,256,917 times
Reputation: 17209
Quote:
Originally Posted by summers73 View Post
Interdasting. Since NC, VA, and FL are locks for Rmoney, what happens if WI, NH, and CO are also won by Rmoney?
It's far more complicated than that. For Obama to even win Pennsylvania he has to get record numbers out in the East. It's certainly not a given that will happen. There are polls out now saying it isn't going to happen.

We saw many of the earlier polls based upon 2008 or polling (D)'s by a larger amount than will likely actually turn out. The tightening of the polls have more to do with the polls wanting to try and get more accurate as the election nears as opposed to people actually moving to Romney.

If Pa doesn't get this turn out and Romney wins it, he only needs one other medium sized state to win the election.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top