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So who do you think is going to WIN the 2012 Presidential election? I am NOT asking who you support? I am just asking who you think will be our next president (regardless of whether you support them or not).
I.E. - Unfortunately, the candidate I voted for, I do not think will win. So this thread is about who you think will win, not who you think should win.
LOL - the votes for Johnson and Goods prove either people don't read instructions or they are delusional. Under no plausible scenario can either of these two gentlemen win.
Wall St and the Corporations. Either way they get 4 more years of a corporate ***** to do their bidding. Oh and add the Industrial Military Complex to that as well.
Obama will win because the worst case scenario will have Obama with 271 electoral points.
I disagree with this, because the latest poll in Wisconsin shows that it's a tie there. If Obama loses Wisconsin, he could win Ohio, Iowa, and Nevada and still lose if Romney carries the other swing states.
That said, I think Obama will win. A ton of things will have to go right for Romney to come out on top. Obama has many more paths to 270.
To close to call. I give Obama 60/40 odds. Got to give the favorite to the incumbent.
Now don't freak out Republicans, I'm simply saying the incumbent has an advantage and Romney still has a 40% chance of winning, which is really good. I know you're seeing national polls, but national polls don't mean ****.
And also, Democrats, don't freak out when I give Romney a 40% chance of winning and you see numbers like 78% chance for Obama winning elsewhere. No Presidential candidate has won the election with the numbers Obama has nationally right now. But as many have said and shown, we are divided as an electorate, and just because states in the south are going to vote for Romney in levels of 80 and 90%, doesn't mean that national polls really mean anything.
To close to call. I give Obama 60/40 odds. Got to give the favorite to the incumbent.
Now don't freak out Republicans, I'm simply saying the incumbent has an advantage and Romney still has a 40% chance of winning, which is really good. I know you're seeing national polls, but national polls don't mean ****.
And also, Democrats, don't freak out when I give Romney a 40% chance of winning and you see numbers like 78% chance for Obama winning elsewhere. No Presidential candidate has won the election with the numbers Obama has nationally right now. But as many have said and shown, we are divided as an electorate, and just because states in the south are going to vote for Romney in levels of 80 and 90%, doesn't mean that national polls really mean anything.
We'll all know on 11/7, or maybe not.
I honestly think it is very likely to be a split outcome with Romney winning the popular vote and Obama the electoral college.
The level of hate for Obama in the south is truly epic, it's going to push Romney's margins through the roof there.
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