Trump Is Killing In Nevada - Why? CNN/ORC Nevada and SC Poll 10/14/2015 (voters, campaign)

[LauraC]

The CNN/ORC poll for Nevada that come out today (10/14/15) shows Trump with 38%. It is a high margin of error +/- 6% but Carson in second place has 22% so even if Trump had 6% less and Carson had 6% more Trump would still be out in front with Nevada Republican likely caucus goers.

I checked and they didn't sample enough people to show a non-white percentage. I wanted to see how Hispanics answered.

I don't seem to recall Trump doing a lot of campaigning in Nevada. So why?

Trump gets a whopping 67% on the economy. The next closest is Fiorina with 7%.
Trump gets 55% on illegal immigration. The next closest is Rubio with 13%.
Trump gets 34% on foreign policy. The next closest is Rubio with 13%.
Trump gets 25% on social issues (abortion, same sex marriage). Carson has 23% so this one is close.
Trump gets 46% on handling ISIS. The next closest is Rubio with 13% followed by Bush with 10%.

He gets 60% for being the most likely to change Washington but the next closest candidate is Carson with only 10%. I think maybe this is the main reason for the good Trump showing in this state in addition to The Economy.

The top 3 most important issues with Nevada Republican Likely Caucus Goers is: The Economy, Terrorism and Illegal Immigration but the top 3 most important issues with all Nevada adults is: The Economy, Healthcare, Social Issues.

Full results: CNN/ORC Poll

Under the same link is the South Carolina poll. Trump is winning big there, too, but I seem to recall him campaigning there more so I am not as surprised. The margin of error is lower in the SC poll. +/- 4.5% with Republican Likely Voters.

Trump has 38% here too. Carson has 18% and everyone else is in single digits.

[HappyRider]

Originally Posted by LauraC

I checked and they didn't sample enough people to show a non-white percentage. I wanted to see how Hispanics answered.

Doesn’t matter. They’ll just be discounted as Republican Hispanics. With all the tweeter and facebook and what not, I don’t think it matters as much if Trump has ever been to Nevada. If he comes to my neck of the woods I will go and to see him but if he never shows up I’ll vote for him just the same.

[LauraC]

Originally Posted by HappyRider

Doesn’t matter. They’ll just be discounted as Republican Hispanics. With all the tweeter and facebook and what not, I don’t think it matters as much if Trump has ever been to Nevada. If he comes to my neck of the woods I will go and to see him but if he never shows up I’ll vote for him just the same.

When he comes to my state he goes to Nashville. I don't know why other than they have an international airport and the Knoxville area doesn't. Nashville is Democrat as is Memphis. My part of the state, East Tennessee is Republican.

[Toyman at Jewel Lake]

Trump is a a clown, sort of like a stand up comic. No wonder he wows 'em in Vegas. You have to remember, that's the state that voted for Reid.