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CNN/ORC Monthly NATIONAL POLL July 22 - July 25, 2015
Taken entirely AFTER the McCain July 18 Trump comments. REGISTERED VOTERS, Republicans and Independents who lean Republican. (+/- 5 margin of error) Top 10 only:
Trump: 18% up 6 from last month Bush: 15% down 2 from last month Walker: 10% up 4 from last month Cruz: 7% up 4 from last month Paul: 6% down 2 since last month Rubio: 6% down 1 since last month Huckabee: 5% same as last month Carson: 4% down 4 since last month Christie: 4% up 1 since last month Kasich: 4% up 1 since last month
REGISTERED VOTERS, Democrats and Independents who lean Democrat. (+/- 5 margin of error):
Clinton: 56% down 2 from last month.
Sanders: 19% up 4 from last month
(Note: Biden is in 3rd with 15% but since he hasn't entered the race...All other Democrat candidates 1% or less)
Oops, sorry. I had my mind on looking at the trending with registered voters. The poll has both registered and people who self identify in separate questions.
Trump has a solid 20 to 25% of the Repuglican base. The question is, as candidates start to drop out, can he gain new supporters. In polls where voters are asked to list both their first and second choice, he doesn't fare as well, and when asked which candidate they are least likely to support, The Donald usually leads.
CNN/ORC Monthly NATIONAL POLL July 22 - July 25, 2015
Taken entirely AFTER the McCain July 18 Trump comments. REGISTERED VOTERS, Republicans and Independents who lean Republican. (+/- 5 margin of error) Top 10 only:
Trump: 18% up 6 from last month Bush: 15% down 2 from last month Walker: 10% up 4 from last month Cruz: 7% up 4 from last month Paul: 6% down 2 since last month Rubio: 6% down 1 since last month Huckabee: 5% same as last month Carson: 4% down 4 since last month Christie: 4% up 1 since last month Kasich: 4% up 1 since last month
REGISTERED VOTERS, Democrats and Independents who lean Democrat. (+/- 5 margin of error):
Clinton: 56% down 2 from last month.
Sanders: 19% up 4 from last month
(Note: Biden is in 3rd with 15% but since he hasn't entered the race...All other Democrat candidates 1% or less)
Trump has a solid 20 to 25% of the Repuglican base. The question is, as candidates start to drop out, can he gain new supporters. In polls where voters are asked to list both their first and second choice, he doesn't fare as well, and when asked which candidate they are least likely to support, The Donald usually leads.
My guess is: as soon as he gets on stage and starts to belittle other candidates, his days may be numbered. Too many of us remember Reagans 11th commandment: speak no evil of other Republicans. My fear is: he will split and run as an independent and will pull a Perot; take the win right out of the hands of the Republicans.
My guess is: as soon as he gets on stage and starts to belittle other candidates, his days may be numbered. Too many of us remember Reagans 11th commandment: speak no evil of other Republicans. My fear is: he will split and run as an independent and will pull a Perot; take the win right out of the hands of the Republicans.
If he does that it will be clear that The Donald is a Democrat plant designed to hand the election to Billary v2.0
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