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Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 29 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,594 posts, read 16,568,312 times
Reputation: 6050
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biscuitmom
Yep.
I bet Trump's head would explode if he realized SC just threw Clinton more love than it threw him last week.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255
Come on, this post is just as absurd as Republicans and Trump supporters that start spouting off a bunch of Democratic states they think Trump can win. Lets be real for once.
Well, to be honest, Democrats have been expanding the electorate in South Carolina better than Republicans have. Barack Obama did better in 2012 in South Carolina than he did in 2008.
It is possible that she could win it, those white Democrats in the South who wouldnt vote for Barack Obama may in fact vote for Hillary.
It is not at all likely that she will win it, but it is possible.
In pure numbers, 738,000 Republicans voted in the SC primary vs. 365,000 for the Democrats. They are also down by 200,000 compared to 2008. What are the implications for the general?
Down 200,000... from the highest turnout in decades, in a highly competitive race... to a nomination race that everyone knows is all but over. Well, I guess Republicans have to console themselves with something.
Hey, who else remembers that huge 'enthusiasm gap' from 2012? You know, Republicans were all jazzed, Democrats not so much, and because of that Romney was going to kick Obama's ass?
Well, to be honest, Democrats have been expanding the electorate in South Carolina better than Republicans have. Barack Obama did better in 2012 in South Carolina than he did in 2008.
It is possible that she could win it, those white Democrats in the South who wouldnt vote for Barack Obama may in fact vote for Hillary.
It is not at all likely that she will win it, but it is possible.
It trended Democratic compared to the national average, but only slightly, it was still 14 points more Republican than the nation in 2012, its simply not going to happen. Again lets be realistic.
Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 29 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,594 posts, read 16,568,312 times
Reputation: 6050
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255
It trended Democratic compared to the national average, but only slightly, it was still 14 points more Republican than the nation in 2012, its simply not going to happen. Again lets be realistic.
Indiana went for George Bush by 20, Barack Obama by 1 and then Romney by 11. Winning a state that is actually trending Blue is indeed possible. Again, not likely, but possible.
There would have to be a lot of factors in play. Again, i dont think it is likely just saying it isnt impossible.
Indiana went for George Bush by 20, Barack Obama by 1 and then Romney by 11. Winning a state that is actually trending Blue is indeed possible. Again, not likely, but possible.
There would have to be a lot of factors in play. Again, i dont think it is likely just saying it isnt impossible.
Indiana was a bit of a special case and more of a fluke than anything else. None of the factors that were present in Indiana in 08 causing it to flip are really there in S.C. S.C is also far more polarized and racial in its voting than Indiana (regardless of Obama or not). The state might continue to drift slightly towards the Democrats compared to the national average, but no where near the pace it would need to make it competitive in the General. It isn't the next Virginia or North Carolina and has too much polarization to have a fluke Indiana like swing.
Well, to be honest, Democrats have been expanding the electorate in South Carolina better than Republicans have. Barack Obama did better in 2012 in South Carolina than he did in 2008.
I don't have a clue re if the base is expanding or not, but it seems obvious Obama did better in 2012 because he was uncontested.
Just saying.
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