Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Are you kidding? 30 years of presidential elections?
You realize presidents are only elected every 4 years! Which brings his streak down to 7.5 elections...
Recently, it is almost impossible for a serving president not to be elected, so lets remove Obama2, Bush2, Clinton2, and Reagan2 that brings it back to 3.5.
Someone said he was wrong about Gore, subtract one.
So, basically this guy was right about two and a half elections. Big whoop.
Then start your own prediction company if it's no big "whoop" and predict the next 7.5 election. I'm sure you'll be 100%, yes indeed.
"Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner."
Something for the hilbots to think about and get worked up over.
Personally I use a system of coin tosses, and slug racing to predict the outcome.
"Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner."
Something for the hilbots to think about and get worked up over.
Answer: With respect to my prediction, my "Keys" system is based on 13 true/false questions where an answer of "true" favors re-election of the White House party - the Democrats. They have exactly six "false" keys against them, just enough to predict their defeat.
However, I also noted that Donald Trump is such a dangerously precedent-breaking candidate that he could upset the verdict of history and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
The two candidates have been repeatedly fact-checked by independent sources, and his lies vastly outnumber hers.
"Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner."
Something for the hilbots to think about and get worked up over.
Did you bother to read the article you posted???
This is from the article:
Quote:
I believe that given the unprecedented nature of the Trump candidacy and Trump himself, he could defy all odds and lose even though the verdict of history is in his favor.
"Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner."
Something for the hilbots to think about and get worked up over.
Then start your own prediction company if it's no big "whoop" and predict the next 7.5 election. I'm sure you'll be 100%, yes indeed.
I'd rather just point out that this "accomplishment" is unimportant and unimpressive for those who thought a "30 year run" meant anything.
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
