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Old 10-17-2016, 11:34 AM
 
Location: North Attleboro, MA
152 posts, read 99,254 times
Reputation: 319

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Arizona (11 EVs)- Trump 46%-Clinton 44%-Johnson 8%-Stein 2%
Colorado (9 EVs)- Clinton 44%-Trump 40%-Johnson 12%-Stein 4%
Florida (29 EVs)- Trump 47%-Clinton 46%-Johnson 5%-Stein 2%
Georgia (16 EVs)- Trump 48%-Clinton 47%-Johnson 4%
Iowa (6 EVs)- Clinton 52%-Trump 44%-Johnson 3%-Stein 1%
Maine 2nd. Cong. District (1 EV)- Trump 56%-Clinton 40%-Johnson 3%-Stein 1%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)- Clinton 44%-Trump 37%-Johnson 15%-Stein 4%
Nevada (6 EVs)- Clinton 47%-Trump 46%-Johnson 6%-Stein 1%
North Carolina (15 EVs)- Clinton 46%-Trump 44%-Johnson 8%-Stein 2%
Ohio (18 EVs)- Trump 51%-Clinton 44%-Johnson 3%-Stein 2%
Utah (yes, Utah-6 EVs))- Clinton 33%-Trump 31%-McMullin 27%-Johnson 7%-Stein 2%
Virginia (13 EVs)- Clinton 54%- Trump 43%- Johnson 2%-Stein 1%
Wisconsin (10 EVs)- Clinton 52%-Trump 41%-Johnson 6%-Stein 3%

That gives Hillary 69 swing state electoral votes and Trump 75.

What are your predictions?
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Old 10-17-2016, 11:56 AM
 
51,651 posts, read 25,813,568 times
Reputation: 37889
Quote:
Originally Posted by MassTerp94 View Post
Arizona (11 EVs)- Trump 46%-Clinton 44%-Johnson 8%-Stein 2%
Colorado (9 EVs)- Clinton 44%-Trump 40%-Johnson 12%-Stein 4%
Florida (29 EVs)- Trump 47%-Clinton 46%-Johnson 5%-Stein 2%
Georgia (16 EVs)- Trump 48%-Clinton 47%-Johnson 4%
Iowa (6 EVs)- Clinton 52%-Trump 44%-Johnson 3%-Stein 1%
Maine 2nd. Cong. District (1 EV)- Trump 56%-Clinton 40%-Johnson 3%-Stein 1%
New Hampshire (4 EVs)- Clinton 44%-Trump 37%-Johnson 15%-Stein 4%
Nevada (6 EVs)- Clinton 47%-Trump 46%-Johnson 6%-Stein 1%
North Carolina (15 EVs)- Clinton 46%-Trump 44%-Johnson 8%-Stein 2%
Ohio (18 EVs)- Trump 51%-Clinton 44%-Johnson 3%-Stein 2%
Utah (yes, Utah-6 EVs))- Clinton 33%-Trump 31%-McMullin 27%-Johnson 7%-Stein 2%
Virginia (13 EVs)- Clinton 54%- Trump 43%- Johnson 2%-Stein 1%
Wisconsin (10 EVs)- Clinton 52%-Trump 41%-Johnson 6%-Stein 3%

That gives Hillary 69 swing state electoral votes and Trump 75.

What are your predictions?
What poll? Please post the link.

Nate Silver's 538 site has Clinton polling ahead in Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, and both Maine districts.

As it stands now, they're predicting 343 EC votes.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...=2016-forecast
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Old 10-17-2016, 02:24 PM
bUU
 
Location: Florida
12,074 posts, read 10,704,652 times
Reputation: 8798
If I'm not mistaken, Trump has to win all those states to win the election right?

Last edited by bUU; 10-17-2016 at 02:49 PM..
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Old 10-17-2016, 02:25 PM
 
Location: Sugarmill Woods , FL
6,234 posts, read 8,442,558 times
Reputation: 13809
November 9th will tell the tale!
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Old 10-17-2016, 02:56 PM
 
9,911 posts, read 7,697,498 times
Reputation: 2494
Think CT will be a sleeper swing State
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Old 10-17-2016, 03:00 PM
 
16,376 posts, read 22,483,864 times
Reputation: 14398
PA and MI aren't even listed? Those are 2 swing states with large electorates. Well, they were supposed to be swing states. Seems Hillary is ahead so much in the polls that they aren't in question at this point?

Remember a few months ago when Trump said he would win NY and CA.
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Old 10-17-2016, 03:01 PM
 
Location: Florida
23,795 posts, read 13,259,424 times
Reputation: 19952
Quote:
Originally Posted by RunD1987 View Post
Think CT will be a sleeper swing State
I'm from Connecticut and I would be very surprised. Why would you think that?
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Old 10-17-2016, 03:19 PM
 
4,540 posts, read 2,784,164 times
Reputation: 4921
Quote:
Originally Posted by RunD1987 View Post
Think CT will be a sleeper swing State
Yeah no.
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Old 10-17-2016, 03:22 PM
 
10,513 posts, read 5,165,182 times
Reputation: 14056
I predict Clinton wins 323-215, with

Trump winning close races in Iowa, Ohio and Arizona.
Clinton taking Florida, NC, Pennsylvania, Colorado and Nevada.

Popular vote will be a blowout, perhaps Clinton 60 million to 50 million for Trump. Lots of women voting and they will vote angry :-) Clinton has large leads in California, Illinois and New York, and these three states will generate large volumes of "excess popular votes" in greater proportion than the electoral votes from those three states.
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Old 10-17-2016, 03:45 PM
 
4,668 posts, read 3,898,896 times
Reputation: 3437
Quote:
Originally Posted by GotHereQuickAsICould View Post
What poll? Please post the link.

Nate Silver's 538 site has Clinton polling ahead in Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Ohio, and both Maine districts.

As it stands now, they're predicting 343 EC votes.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...=2016-forecast
That's the OPs personal prediction, those numbers are not from polls.
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