Quote:
Originally Posted by Secchamps98
So did you read the sample methodology?...40% dems sampled and 31% republicans...and 55% female to 44% male. Dosen't that strike you as a bit over sampling in one direction?
So if the sampling would have been 37% dem, 34 repub likely voters, 52% female, and 48% male...wouldn't that bring the 6% lead by Clinton down to 2-3 points at best and a close race?
Looks like another poll with sampling bias...
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No. You should read the voter registration statistics.
NC Voter Statistics Results
Female: 3,640,905 (53.03%)
Democrat: 2,715,039 (39.54%)
Republican: 2,067,392 (30.11%)
It's right there in the database. Women are likely over-represented because Clinton's turnout operation has a heavy focus on women voters.