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THREAD LOSERS
ElliottCA: None
Calipoppy - None
Legalsea - State of Denial
Petty Pendergrass - State of Denial
BucFan - State of Denial (with a "snicker")
NJGOAT - Can't win without all battleground states (also chastised others for "ignoring any and all objective data")
burdell - state of confusion
Sugah Ray - Confederate States of Denial
Caldus "I still believe he will lose and by a wide margin electorally"
Donna501 "I see someone that is going to be real sad early evening on Nov. 8th" (did you have a mirror handy last night, Donna?)
THREAD WINNERS
MTQ3000 - all battleground states and flip 1 blue state
Bureaucat - WI, NH, or WI
jas75 - WI
BobNJ1960 - MI
Parker501 - NC NV WI OH MI FL and CO with a "?" after CO
LoveToRow - PA
Gee, looks like I was the only one to get it exactly right. Also, where are all of these people? I've only seen calipoppy post since Armageddon happened.
Florida - 29 - Trump +1.0
Ohio - 18 - Trump +2.5
Georgia - 16 - Trump +3.6
North Carolina - 15 - Clinton +2.5
Arizona - 11 - Clinton +0.6
Colorado - 9 - Clinton +4.0
Nevada - 6 - Clinton +1.0
Iowa - 6 - Trump +1.4
Maine 2nd - 1 - Clinton +2.0
With the exception of Maine 2nd, Trump needs every one of those states, Clinton really only needs one of them. Based on the current polls, Clinton is strongest in Colorado. If Trump takes all of them, except Colorado, he can't win. If Clinton doesn't win North Carolina, then Colorado will most likely be the deciding state.
Did anyone else notice that the RCP simple average was more accurate than Nate Silver AGAIN?
Let's Review:
-RCP uses elementary math (simple average) and throws out older polls.
-Nate Silver uses complex proprietary formulas as he weights polls and makes adjustments, etc...
Results head to head:
-Nate Silver's Complex Formulas were more accurate in the 2012 General Election.
-RCP Simple Average was more accurate in the 2008 primary, 2008 General Election, 2010 midterms, 2012 primaries, 2014 midterms, 2016 primaries, and 2016 General Election.
Only a liberal could look at this and proclaim that Nate Silver is a genius and is on to something with his polls.
I didn't see this thread or else I would've been wrong as well. My guess would have been that Trump needed to win 9 states to guarantee 270: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, and either Colorado or New Hampshire.
I would've said NO WAY on him winning Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania. Hey, at least I'm honest. I still can't believe he won those, although technically Michigan is still pending for some reason.
When Trump lost Colorado on election night I thought he was in trouble. When they called Wisconsin for Trump I felt that was THE turning point of the night and I was already calling the election for him.
I didn't see this thread or else I would've been wrong as well. My guess would have been that Trump needed to win 9 states to guarantee 270: Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, and either Colorado or New Hampshire.
I would've said NO WAY on him winning Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania. Hey, at least I'm honest. I still can't believe he won those, although technically Michigan is still pending for some reason.
When Trump lost Colorado on election night I thought he was in trouble. When they called Wisconsin for Trump I felt that was THE turning point of the night and I was already calling the election for him.
I felt Wisconsin and Florida getting called for him were two big turning points.
I felt Wisconsin and Florida getting called for him were two big turning points.
Don't get me wrong, Florida being called for Trump was yuge for him! Ditto with North Carolina.
Going into election day those states were very close in the polls, so I knew those states could go either way.
In the case of Wisconsin, it was never really close prior to election day, so I did not believe that Trump would be able to pull it off there. Once Colorado was called for Hillary, I felt that New Hampshire was Trump's last path to 270. Those 10 electoral votes from Wisconsin: HUGE for Trump. 20 point swing on the electoral map! I felt that Trump would then come out on top in Arizona, Georgia and Alaska.
As far as I'm concerned, Presidents don't have mandates other than sign good bills and don't sign bad ones, protect the nation, and be Commander in Chief of the armed forces.
I would've said NO WAY on him winning Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania. Hey, at least I'm honest. I still can't believe he won those, although technically Michigan is still pending for some reason.....
Easy to understand. The Democrats lost the blue collar workers and suburban White women.
Basically anyone who worked a job and who is buying insurance had absolutely no reason to support Hillary.
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