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Showing a light blue Florida on his website at the moment. I'd like to see a primary source as well, every source I found with a cursory google search that were running similar stories were all 2nd hand echo chamber type websites.
I find it odd that he would predict a republican Florida win verbally when the Florida models on his website are slightly leaning towards the democrats.
Looking at the chances over time graph for Florida, for Nov 2-6 he had Trump with a slight advantage. With how close it has been I doubt very much that he would "call" it for either candidate and some people got overexcited when Trump blipped up to a 52% chance.
Furthermore, if there's a Trump supporter on this site who doesn't make s**t up and who is interested in a serious discussion I'd love to hear from him/her.
Furthermore, if there's a Trump supporter on this site who doesn't make s**t up and who is interested in a serious discussion I'd love to hear from him/her.
Wow. Drudge is running a blatantly dishonest headline. We have no idea how many people voted for Hillary vs. Trump, or how Trump is doing compared to Romney in EV. The 33,000 number Drudge is referring to is how many more Voters who are registered Democrat have voted vs. registered Republicans in early voting. Not WHO they voted for.
Can you guys not think for yourself?
Last edited by tolovefromANFIELD; 11-07-2016 at 02:46 PM..
Florida has been back & forth in his models over the last couple days. It has generally been within a couple tenths so a poll here and there can move it. Earlier today Trump did lead in the FL models, now Clinton does.
Trump is leading the RCP average for Florida and apparently early voting for Democrats is down compared to 2012. Trump definitely has a shot in Florida
NC and FL are two states where Clinton's win hinges very heavily on unaffiliated voters voting the same way in the ballot box as they've been answering polls, and black voters turning out at the same rate on election day as they have during early voting (historically, black voters voted early, so this is some cause for concern).
Two big ifs. IF those conditions are met, Clinton will pocket both states. If those conditions are not met, Clinton could lose both, and this will be a very close election indeed.
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