Here's a couple of articles on tomorrow's special election in GA-6 that I thought were interesting.
The first is from Nate Silver who says that the district is very difficult to predict because of the differences in results in the
2012.and 2016 elections. The district was carried by Romney in 2012 by 27% but by 1.5% by Trump in 2016.
If you base a predicion on the 2016 presidential election plus the current generic ballot the predicted result would be Ossloff by 3.3%.
If you base it on the 2012 presidential plus the current generic ballot, it's Handel by 20.3%.
If you base it on the 2016 congressional results plus the generic, it would be Handel by 7.8%.
If you base it on a blend of past presidential elections plus generic, it's Handel by 2.6%.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ction-matters/
The other article is a piece by the NYT that shows why they Democrats are so interested in GA-6.
There are 15 districts in the country where half or more of registered voters are college graduates. The Democrats hold 13 of the 15. The outliers are GA-6 and VA-10, which is currently held by Barbara Comstock.
Congressional Districts with Highest Percentages of College Graduates
1. New York 12th CD ( Manhattan/Queens) 69% college grad- Carolyn Mahoney-D
2. California 33rd CD (Santa Monica/Malibu) 58% college grad- Ted Lieu-D
3. California 18th CD (Silicon Valley/Palo Alto) 57% college grad- Anna Eshoo-D
4. Virginia 8th CD (Northern VA) 57% college grad- Don Breyer-D
5. New York 10th (Manhattan/Brooklyn) 57% college grad- Jerrold Nader-D
6. Georgia 6th (Northern Atlanta suburbs) 56% college grad- R
7. Washington 7th CD (Seattle) 56% college grad- Pramila Jayapal-D
8. California 12th CD (San Francisco) 55% college grad- Nancy Pelosi
9. Massachusetts 5th CD (NW Boston suburbs) 52% college -Katherine Clark-D
10. California 52nd CD (San Diego) 52% college grad- Scott Peters-D
11. California 17th CD (Silicon Valley/Cupertino) 52% college grad- Ro Khanna-D
12. Virginia 10th CD (Northern VA) 51% college grad-Barbara Comstock-R
13. Maryland 8th CD (DC suburbs) 51% college grad- Jamie Raskin-D
14. Virginia 11th CD (Northern VA) 50% college grad- Gerry Connolly-D
15. Illinois 5th CD (Chicago suburbs) 50% college grads-Mike Quigley-D
https://www.nytimes.com/section/upshot