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Majority makers = we think we can win here, but dont bet on it
Red to Blue = We put money in these races
Red to Blue are the top targets, majority makers are the secondary targets. They might not get the 24 in the red to Blue, but could pick off some of the majority makers to put over the top. I also didn't notice PA-05 on either lust, but they likely have this one in the bag as it is now a Clinton +28 district now that Goofy is no longer kicking Donald.
Majority makers = we think we can win here, but dont bet on it
Red to Blue = We put money in these races
Thanks, I didn't know that. But what exactly is their strategy? If it's to pick likely wins, why wouldn't they put money into CA49? Darryl Issa only won by 1600 votes & is retiring and Clinton took the district 49.9 -42.6? The only thing I could see that would screw up the chances of a Dem taking that seat is that there are too many going into the primary.
Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 29 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,594 posts, read 16,568,312 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2sleepy
Thanks, I didn't know that. But what exactly is their strategy? If it's to pick likely wins, why wouldn't they put money into CA49? Darryl Issa only won by 1600 votes & is retiring and Clinton took the district 49.9 -42.6? The only thing I could see that would screw up the chances of a Dem taking that seat is that there are too many going into the primary.
The DNC supported candidate may drop out of the race in that district to Run for the San Diego board of supervisors ( or something like that) , so they may wait till that happens to endorse the front runner . Doug Applegate also has a possible abuse problem.
The DNC supported candidate may drop out of the race in that district to Run for the San Diego board of supervisors ( or something like that) , so they may wait till that happens to endorse the front runner . Doug Applegate also has a possible abuse problem.
I thought it was Doug Applegate who moved to Oceanside to position himself for a supervisor position in San Diego's 5th district? That would leave Mike Levin, Sarah Jacobs and Paul Kerr. This is bizarre there was a scheduled forum for democratic candidates in Oceanside and the only one who showed up was Mike Levin. https://www.motherjones.com/politics...-bizarre-turn/
Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 29 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,594 posts, read 16,568,312 times
Reputation: 6047
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2sleepy
I thought it was Doug Applegate who moved to Oceanside to position himself for a supervisor position in San Diego's 5th district? That would leave Mike Levin, Sarah Jacobs and Paul Kerr. This is bizarre there was a scheduled forum for democratic candidates in Oceanside and the only one who showed up was Mike Levin. https://www.motherjones.com/politics...-bizarre-turn/
That might have more to do with Bernie Sanders associated super packed group running the event and that not actually being a positive in that district.
Both Jacobs and Applegate held other events it seems
Red to Blue are the top targets, majority makers are the secondary targets. They might not get the 24 in the red to Blue, but could pick off some of the majority makers to put over the top. I also didn't notice PA-05 on either lust, but they likely have this one in the bag as it is now a Clinton +28 district now that Goofy is no longer kicking Donald.
24 should be a piece of cake now. I'm not rooting for it, but I do think Parkland alone will swing some close races, by making NRA support an albatross.
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,630,065 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BobNJ1960
24 should be a piece of cake now. I'm not rooting for it, but I do think Parkland alone will swing some close races, by making NRA support an albatross.
That's big of you to be able to even say this, given your bias. I give you credit 👍
I actually think these kids will help lose a couple of winnable seats .
I don't vote for deeply conservative Democrats, but I don't vote for deeply progressive ones either .
There are a couple of seat in West Virginia, South Carolina, Tennessee , Kentucky and yes, Florida that Dems are putting a lot of money into that would get hurt by this .
Do you have a source for that last listing. I doubt the Dems spend a dime in SC. Our map is gerrymandered to split the few Dem leaning cities among districts and to put every AA they possibly can into a huge Dem/AA voter dump for Jim Clyburn's minority district. The state is typically 55-45 R but our congressional districts all but ensure a 6-1 split. A Dem came within a couple of points in a special election last year but that was not indicative of a regular election result.
Do you have a source for that last listing. I doubt the Dems spend a dime in SC. Our map is gerrymandered to split the few Dem leaning cities among districts and to put every AA they possibly can into a huge Dem/AA voter dump for Jim Clyburn's minority district. The state is typically 55-45 R but our congressional districts all but ensure a 6-1 split. A Dem came within a couple of points in a special election last year but that was not indicative of a regular election result.
SC-05, the one with Special Election last year It is on the Majority makers link. This one is unlikely to flip but not completely out of the question in a strong wave. My parents retired down there and live in the northern edge of the district (Charlotte suburbs)
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