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Status:
"everybody getting reported now.."
(set 29 days ago)
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,594 posts, read 16,568,312 times
Reputation: 6048
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TigerLily24
No, it isn't.
The state senate is majority Republican, one of our two senators is a Republican and my district, while voting for Clinton in 2016, re-elected Mike Coffman (R) that same year.
Colorado is still purple.
As for the current races, I don't think that the Dem candidate for governor is a shoo-in by any stretch of the imagination.
Take or leave the polling, but while he was the favorite in the polls to win the primary, he was also the least electable head-to-head against the eventual R winner come November.
Considered most electable was the guy who came in third(!)
So, I wouldn't be counting any chickens just yet.
The only thing I do know for sure is that it's going to be a long, ugly campaign season.
The state senate is majority Republican, one of our two senators is a Republican and my district, while voting for Clinton in 2016, re-elected Mike Coffman (R) that same year.
Colorado is still purple.
As for the current races, I don't think that the Dem candidate for governor is a shoo-in by any stretch of the imagination.
Take or leave the polling, but while he was the favorite in the polls to win the primary, he was also the least electable head-to-head against the eventual R winner come November.
Considered most electable was the guy who came in third(!)
So, I wouldn't be counting any chickens just yet.
The only thing I do know for sure is that it's going to be a long, ugly campaign season.
Well, Colorado is one of the bluest purple states out there. Millions of liberal Californians have moved there looking for lower taxes, low humidity and a pot friendly atmosphere. It's now only a short matter of time before both Senators and governor have a D next to their names.
Of course the rural parts of the state will try to hold on, but it will be pointless.
A political discussion I saw on one of the local public television stations.
All moot now.
ah, well, I can certainly see why a couple of talking heads means more than 140K more Dem votes in the primary
And no, I am certainly not saying that Polis is guaranteed to win. But it remains a numerical reality that it was a better election night for Dems than for GOPers
ah, well, I can certainly see why a couple of talking heads means more than 140K more Dem votes in the primary
And no, I am certainly not saying that Polis is guaranteed to win. But it remains a numerical reality that it was a better election night for Dems than for GOPers
That talking head was reporting on a poll.
Right now, some poll has Polis up by a good margin over Stapleton.
If that same talking head reported on the results of that poll, would that report be dismissed with the same level of contempt?
I hope that Polis does beat Stapleton.
And I hope that numerical reality is predictive.
But I have concerns since those numbers are the result of a wholly anomalous primary and still represent only a fraction of registered voters.
There are still too many people who don’t vote because the result is presented as a fait accompli.
In this climate, and after 2016, I think it would be a mistake to assume that Polis, or anyone for that matter, is going to cruise to a win.
Colorado is a trap state... Trap because it is a complete waste of GOP money... If the GOP completely ignores them, they could win it when liberals destroy that state...
Amen. Colorado is home to the most white bread and partisan Democrats I've ever seen. Tow the line, no opinions on anything, lots of "There was nothing wrong with HRC because she was a woman!"
Amen. Colorado is home to the most white bread and partisan Democrats I've ever seen. Tow the line, no opinions on anything, lots of "There was nothing wrong with HRC because she was a woman!"
That's what I tried to tell everyone. You could go to CA and people are the exact same way. There's no thinking involved whatsoever. All anyone needs is a D after their name and they get the vote. The majority of voters there are like robots.
It's become a mini California along with Washington State because that's where a huge amount of liberal Californians moved to in the last 10-15 years and are still moving to. Colorado is a lost cause.
Colorado has become more and more Democratic, though it isn't quite a state the Democrats can just automatically assume they have locked up and take for granted, that hurt Udall in 2014.
While there have been transplants which have played a role in Colorado becoming less Republican, the suburban issue for the GOP is a key factor. The GOP has lost a bit of ground in many suburban areas recently and Colorado really shows that. With Evangelicals in Colorado Springs holding considerable influence with the state GOP, it has turned off suburban Denver Republicans. Take a look at Arapahoe and Jefferson Counties and how it is compared to the nation as a whole
Arapahoe
1996 GOP + 17.39
2000 GOP + 8.41
2004 GOP +1.51
2008 Dem +5.65
2012 Dem +6.05
2016 Dem +12.02
Jefferson
1996 GOP +14.25
2000 GOP +8.63
2004 GOP +2.73
2008 Dem +1.73
2012 Dem +1.10
2016 Dem +4.77
These aren't small counties either, these are large suburban counties that have swung almost 20 and 30 points compared to the national average in 20 years
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