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Old 06-14-2019, 06:10 PM
 
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Some interesting data from Republican pollster Bill McInturff (NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll) on the change in the composition of the Republican Party before and during the Trump Era.

2010: non-college whites =50%; College whites= 40%, non-whites=10%
2012: non-college whites =48%; college whites= 40%; non-whites= 12%
2014: non-college whites = 49%; college whites= 38%: non-whites= 13%
2016: non-college whites = 56%; college whites= 33%; non-whites= 11%
2018: non-college whites = 59%; college whites= 29%; non-whites= 12%

Positive spin: there’s been a big increase for the GOP in non-college whites and it’s still the largest single demographic group.

Negative spin: the GOP is more dependent than ever on the one segment of the electorate that has been dropping like clockwork for the last 20 years and is projected to continue to decline as a percentage of total registrants.

https://mobile.twitter.com/pollsterg...554432/photo/1

 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:25 PM
 
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Tripe from the liars at NBC. They have no clue about any of it.
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:27 PM
 
3,930 posts, read 2,110,328 times
Reputation: 4580
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bureaucat View Post
Some interesting data from Republican pollster Bill McInturff (NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll) on the change in the composition of the Republican Party before and during the Trump Era.

2010: non-college whites =50%; College whites= 40%, non-whites=10%
2012: non-college whites =48%; college whites= 40%; non-whites= 12%
2014: non-college whites = 49%; college whites= 38%: non-whites= 13%
2016: non-college whites = 56%; college whites= 33%; non-whites= 11%
2018: non-college whites = 59%; college whites= 29%; non-whites= 12%

Positive spin: there’s been a big increase for the GOP in non-college whites and it’s still the largest single demographic group.

Negative spin: the GOP is more dependent than ever on the one segment of the electorate that has been dropping like clockwork for the last 20 years and is projected to continue to decline as a percentage of total registrants.

https://mobile.twitter.com/pollsterg...554432/photo/1
Not surprised by that data the change has been happening even if you go further back.
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:29 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Beach Sportsfan View Post
Not surprised by that data the change has been happening even if you go further back.
The change has been happening for a long time, but it’s certainly accelerated during the Trump years.
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:40 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bureaucat View Post
The change has been happening for a long time, but it’s certainly accelerated during the Trump years.
Where's the one for the Democrat party?

Maybe everyone is going Independent or not registered at all. The world is more than Black & White you know.

My guess however is this is just another attempt to call Trump supporters Deplorable.
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:44 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Where's the one for the Democrat party?

Maybe everyone is going Independent or not registered at all. The world is more than Black & White you know.

My guess however is this is just another attempt to call Trump supporters Deplorable.
Nope. I just thought it was interesting.

The changes correlates to the findings of this Pew report.

https://www.people-press.org/2018/03...raphic-groups/
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:46 PM
 
52,430 posts, read 26,774,000 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bureaucat View Post
Nope. I just thought it was interesting.
If you believe it. NBC likes to tell lies and polls of a few hundred people are meaningless. Russiagate anyone.
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:50 PM
 
Location: Clyde Hill, WA
6,061 posts, read 2,026,987 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bureaucat View Post
Some interesting data from Republican pollster Bill McInturff (NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll) on the change in the composition of the Republican Party before and during the Trump Era.

2010: non-college whites =50%; College whites= 40%, non-whites=10%
2012: non-college whites =48%; college whites= 40%; non-whites= 12%
2014: non-college whites = 49%; college whites= 38%: non-whites= 13%
2016: non-college whites = 56%; college whites= 33%; non-whites= 11%
2018: non-college whites = 59%; college whites= 29%; non-whites= 12%

Positive spin: there’s been a big increase for the GOP in non-college whites and it’s still the largest single demographic group.

Negative spin: the GOP is more dependent than ever on the one segment of the electorate that has been dropping like clockwork for the last 20 years and is projected to continue to decline as a percentage of total registrants.

https://mobile.twitter.com/pollsterg...554432/photo/1
So according to these numbers there was an influx of non-college whites from 2016-18. I suspect that a lot of these people were former blue collar democrats.

I have to think that the 'non-white' numbers are misleading. Even Obama 'only' got about 80% of the non-white vote, not the 87%-90% suggested by this. I don't know what the number was for Hillary, but I'm guessing even less.
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:57 PM
 
11,986 posts, read 5,328,538 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
If you believe it. NBC likes to tell lies and polls of a few hundred people are meaningless. Russiagate anyone.
I tend to believe data that is verified by different sources, and unlike you, I don’t believe they’re crooks spreading lies for their political masters.

Their end product may be eight or wrong, but they have competitors and it’s in their own economic best interests to play it straight.
 
Old 06-14-2019, 06:57 PM
 
3,930 posts, read 2,110,328 times
Reputation: 4580
Quote:
Originally Posted by travis t View Post
So according to these numbers there was an influx of non-college whites from 2016-18. I suspect that a lot of these people were former blue collar democrats.

I have to think that the 'non-white' numbers are misleading. Even Obama 'only' got about 80% of the non-white vote, not the 87%-90% suggested by this. I don't know what the number was for Hillary, but I'm guessing even less.
These numbers are the make up of the Republican Party. Many are Independents and would vote for either Party in the general elections.
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