Swing state polls on August 25th (thoughts, Democrats, education, wisdom)

[Nanny Goat]

Originally Posted by Variable

What about NC, OH, TX, GA, AZ, also swing states?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...orth-carolina/


August 26--Biden up by 1.4 %. Gonna be some contest if this holds.

[Dialphone]

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say Trump wins all those states easily

[RevelateTransform]

At the end of the day, why even look at polls when they totally failed in 2016?

[paracord]

Originally Posted by RevelateTransform

At the end of the day, why even look at polls when they totally failed in 2016?

Entertainment.

[jjbradleynyc]

Ya'll thinking Biden is ahead in these states is some good humor.

Biden is getting by based on name recognition. That's all.

With all that's going on in the US with Democrat ANTIFA and Democrat BLM, he's gonna get thumped pretty hard by Trump.

Buckle up.

[TheEmissary]

Originally Posted by Dialphone

I'm gonna go out on a limb and say Trump wins all those states easily

Don't hurt yourself on the way down. Those thin limbs only support birdbrains.

[mrpeatie]

Originally Posted by Dialphone

NC 99 percent of the time votes republican.

Not really a swing state

Take a gander at their current statewide office holders and tell me how that looks statistically...

[Bureaucat]

Originally Posted by RevelateTransform

At the end of the day, why even look at polls when they totally failed in 2016?

Because that’s not true. A few states were widely off (WI, IA, OH) but most were within the margin of error. The nationwide vote was only off by 1.1%.

Real Clear Politics 2016 Final Prediction vs. Actual

National: RCP = Clinton +3.2 Actual Results Clinton +2.1 (error +1.1)
Florida: RCP = Clinton +0.2 Actual= Trump +1.2 {error + 1.0)
Pennsylvania: RCP = Clinton +1.9 Actual = Trump +0.7 (error + 2.6)
Michigan: RCP = Clinton + 3.4 Actual = Trump + 0.3 (error + 3.7)
Wisconsin: RCP= Clinton +6.5 Actual = Trump + 0.7 (error + 7.2%)
Ohio: RCP= Trump + 3.5 Actual = Trump +8.1 (error + 4.6)
Iowa: RCP = Trump + 3.0 Actual = Trump + 9.5 (error +6.5 )
North Carolina: RCP= Trump + 1.0 Actual = Trump + 3.7 (error +2.7)
Arizona: RCP = Trump +4.0% Actual = Trump + 3.5% (error +0.5)
Texas: RCP = Trump + 12% Actual= Trump + 9% (error + 3.0)
Nevada: RCP= Trump + 0.8 Actual= Clinton + 2.4 (error + 3.2)
New Hampshire: RCP = Clinton +0.6 Actual = Clinton + 0.3 (error +0.3)
Georgia: RCP = Trump +4.8 Actual= Trump +5.1% (error + 0.3)
Colorado: RCP = Clinton +2.9 Actual = Clinton + 4.9% (error + 2.0)
Virginia: RCP= Clinton +5.0 Actual= Clinton + 5.4 (error + 0.4)
Maine: RCP= Clinton + 4.5% Actual= Clinton + 2.9% (error +1.6%)

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...tein-5966.html

[dsjj251]

Originally Posted by RevelateTransform

Swing state polls on August 25th:


Pennsylvania

• 2016: Hillary +9.2

• 2020: Biden +5.7


Michigan

• 2016: Hillary +9.0

• 2020: Biden +6.7


Wisconsin

• 2016: Hillary +11.5

• 2020: Biden +6.5


Florida

• 2016: Hillary +2.9

• 2020: Biden +4.8


LOL

So, all these polls have adjusted to what they believe is a reflection of 2016 right ?

so Biden winning is far worse for you as a Republican, and you shouldnt be laughing.

[Dialphone]

Originally Posted by mrpeatie

Take a gander at their current statewide office holders and tell me how that looks statistically...

Take a gander at voter registration right now


Trump will win by at least 5, maybe 7