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Old 04-24-2022, 06:47 PM
 
8,181 posts, read 2,789,696 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Loveshiscountry View Post
Why should America care? God didn't put our oil in France, he put it in the Middle East.
He also put a bunch in Texas and the Dakotas.
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Old 04-24-2022, 06:50 PM
 
13,442 posts, read 4,285,423 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
The difference is now:

Macron 18,320,938 votes or 58%
Le Pen 13,223,887 votes or 42%

Over 5 million vote difference.

So he lost 5 million votes from 2017 that went to the right and you are celebrating?

Macron is the new hope of the liberal movement since Biden and Kamala numbers are in the toilet in their own country. Macron dreaming.
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Old 04-24-2022, 07:01 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,861 posts, read 9,524,822 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SanJuanStar View Post
So he lost 5 million votes from 2017 that went to the right and you are celebrating?
It's still a blowout. Plus, as I mentioned earlier in this thread, Macron wasn't even popular so I would expect him to lose some votes compared to last time anyway. Also, turnout was lower this time.
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Old 04-24-2022, 07:09 PM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,305,461 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SanJuanStar View Post
...
A successful incumbent adds votes on their re-election. Macron lost over 3 million votes that went to Le Pen. Nothing to brag about.
A successful incumbent WINS, which is what Macron did. Trump couldn't even do that as an incumbent and the US usually reelects incumbents.
France hasn't reelected an incumbent president for 20 years but they just elected an incumbent today.
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Old 04-24-2022, 07:15 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
A successful incumbent WINS, which is what Macron did.
France hasn't reelected an incumbent president for 20 years but they just elected an incumbent today.

Wins? at what cost? He lost 5 million voters from the last election. That shows that he will have a rough 2nd term and he can't blame the previous administration.


5 million voters that voted for him in 2017 went to the opposition. That is not success but holding on to power. France is a very liberal country, that's like New York Democrat governor losing 5 million votes on their re-election. That's not a good sign for the liberals.
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Old 04-24-2022, 07:21 PM
 
13,442 posts, read 4,285,423 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
It's still a blowout. Plus, as I mentioned earlier in this thread, Macron wasn't even popular so I would expect him to lose some votes compared to last time anyway. Also, turnout was lower this time.

not when France is a very liberal country. 5 million voters that voted for him didn't stay home, they went to the opposition 5 years later. So he lost 50% of his advantage in 5 years. He wins by 10 million votes in 2017 and now by 5 million. It's call a trend and the conservatives in France are in a good position.


If inflation gets worse and it will, his 5 million edge will be gone in 5 years.
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Old 04-24-2022, 07:48 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,861 posts, read 9,524,822 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SanJuanStar View Post
5 million voters that voted for him didn't stay home, they went to the opposition 5 years later..
You're not really understanding the numbers.

Here are the Wiki pages for the last 2 elections:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_F...ntial_election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_F...ntial_election

In 2017, Macron got 20,743,128 votes while LePen got 10,638,475 votes.
In 2022, Macron got 18,779,809 votes while LePen got 13,297,728 votes.

So, Macron lost 1,963,319 votes, not 5 million. LePen gained 2,659,253 votes, not 5 million.

And yes, that's still a blowout. For comparison, the 1984 US presidential election in which Reagan demolished Mondale and is considered by everybody to be a blowout, Reagan got 58.8% to Mondale's 40.6%. Those are nearly the same percentages as Macron's 58.5% to LePen's 41.5%.

Let that sink in: Macron just defeated LePen by almost the same percentages as Reagan defeated Mondale.

The only difference between this time and 2017 is that, in 2017 it was a super-duper-ultra blowout. This time it's "just" a super-duper blowout.
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Old 04-24-2022, 08:06 PM
 
45,676 posts, read 24,000,087 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SanJuanStar View Post
Wrong way to look at numbers:

2017 Macron got 20.7 million votes and went down to 17.4 in 2022

2017 Le Pen got 10.6 million votes and went up 13 million votes in 2022.

Remember France is a very liberal country. All of the communists dictators have gone to France or send their kids to France to get educated.

A successful incumbent adds votes on their re-election. Macron lost over 3 million votes that went to Le Pen. Nothing to brag about.
End goal in an election is winning. Macron won by a bigger margin than most anticipated.
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Old 04-24-2022, 08:07 PM
 
45,676 posts, read 24,000,087 times
Reputation: 15559
Quote:
Originally Posted by SanJuanStar View Post
not when France is a very liberal country. 5 million voters that voted for him didn't stay home, they went to the opposition 5 years later. So he lost 50% of his advantage in 5 years. He wins by 10 million votes in 2017 and now by 5 million. It's call a trend and the conservatives in France are in a good position.


If inflation gets worse and it will, his 5 million edge will be gone in 5 years.

So a few days ago all we heard was that Macron might lose....he didn't. He won.. that was the end game...
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Old 04-24-2022, 08:23 PM
 
13,442 posts, read 4,285,423 times
Reputation: 5388
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
You're not really understanding the numbers.

Here are the Wiki pages for the last 2 elections:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_F...ntial_election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_F...ntial_election

In 2017, Macron got 20,743,128 votes while LePen got 10,638,475 votes.
In 2022, Macron got 18,779,809 votes while LePen got 13,297,728 votes.

So, Macron lost 1,963,319 votes, not 5 million. LePen gained 2,659,253 votes, not 5 million.

And yes, that's still a blowout. For comparison, the 1984 US presidential election in which Reagan demolished Mondale and is considered by everybody to be a blowout, Reagan got 58.8% to Mondale's 40.6%. Those are nearly the same percentages as Macron's 58.5% to LePen's 41.5%.

Let that sink in: Macron just defeated LePen by almost the same percentages as Reagan defeated Mondale.

The only difference between this time and 2017 is that, in 2017 it was a super-duper-ultra blowout. This time it's "just" a super-duper blowout.
Macron lost 2 million votes and LePen gained 2.6 votes from 2017. That's a 4.6 million voter swing.



Reagan added to his base from 43,903,230 to 54,455,472. He went from 50.7% to 58.8%.
Macron lost votes from 2017. He went from 20,743,128 to 18,779,809. From 66% to 58.8%.

Reagan won 49 states and not the case with Macron. Wrong comparison.
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