Obama, seeing hope in Ohio, shifts schedule there | TheNewsTribune.com | Tacoma, WA (broken link)
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Obama made a beeline for the Rust Belt when he left the Democratic National Convention last week. With a swing through Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan, Obama signaled the importance of this region to his campaign. Kerry won Pennsylvania and Michigan - two states where Obama strategists think their chances are iffy - and lost Ohio by a 10-vote-per-precinct margin in 2004.
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If obama thinks he can lose MI & PA and pick up OH and still win - forget it. Here's a map with obama winning IA, NM, OH, McCain picking up MI & PA - McCain wins easily.
http://www.270towin.com/
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Obama has long looked for a way to win the White House without the 20 electoral votes of Ohio, the prototypical swing state. His top aides, including his campaign manager, once said they could lose the state and still win the election by picking off states that typically support Republicans.
No more.
The campaign is quietly eyeing a states' map similar to the one used in past elections, with some exceptions. Obama this week dropped advertising in Georgia, a traditionally Republican state that he considered winnable based on increased voter registration among blacks and young people
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Obama lost 83 of the state's 88 counties during his primary campaign against Clinton. Some Obama aides worry the outcome might be similar come November; McCain's advisers expect it to be even worse for his Democratic rival.
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How much do we love that he has to spend time and money in traditionally blue states? As I said before, obama cannot afford to lose ANY states Kerry won in 2004, whereas McCain can afford to give up a few.
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