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Sat 7Dec: Still a week out, and chances low, but NWS GSP has mentioned the possibility this AM of brief window of wintry precip into area next week somewhere in Thurs-Sat time period. Confidence low that far out, but this is a better setup for mixed precip (sleet/ice) rather than snow though.
It's going to snow om December 22. I know, because I just bought GSO tickets for that date. Last year, we had tickets for an event on the one day we had significant snow, and we didn't go.
Sun 8Dec: NWS GSP took wintry weather out of their forecast for end of week this AM with temps more likely then not warming above freezing as precip arrives. (Subject to change this far out still, saying “ Confidence overall in the period is, however, low”). But was interesting wording to start their discussion off lol:
“ As of 330 AM Sun: Ay yi yi. The forecast for the latter half of the week remains challenging, especially in light of poor agreement between the major deterministic models and ensemble members, as well as poor run-to-run consistency of the GFS.”
For Friday’s potential, the NWS freezing rain (ice) % probability maps that extend out into Friday come out tomorrow(Tuesday). We’ll see what chance they give us, if any.
For Friday’s potential, the NWS freezing rain (ice) % probability maps that extend out into Friday come out tomorrow(Tuesday). We’ll see what chance they give us, if any.
Maybe a chance for the mountains. I don't think anywhere else.
But.. I'll bet you Greenville County Schools are at least delayed.
Maybe a chance for the mountains. I don't think anywhere else.
But.. I'll bet you Greenville County Schools are at least delayed.
We'll see. If it's a true CAD, like today, the piedmont should be colder than the mountains. The colder air sinks and wedges against the escarpment and the higher mountains warm up comparably; see the map of today from above. Asheville's high was 56 today, GSP just 47 so far (current temp). CAE was 71.
Situation later this week looks very borderline (as usual) and all depends on the placement and strength of the high pressure, as well as timing of precip. Best chance is Northeastern section of Upstate up into NC piedmont. Not really big on ice personally, other than being pretty to look at it is too messy and nothing fun to do with it. I'd rather wait for a more legitimate snow chance, not that I have any say!
There’s first probability maps for Friday (as of Tuesday 6AM). So basically around 30% chance of just glisten on trees, 10% chance starts to impact travel, 5% of tree/power issues for i85 corridor, higher % chance further North you are: https://twitter.com/weathersources/s...89018944917504
Thurs 12Dec 6a: For tonight/Friday AM NWS has i85 corridor at about 20% chance of 0.01" ice (glisten on trees) and less then 5% chance of 0.10" so Upstate overall looks to be fine. Very Northern Greenville, Pickens and all of Cherokee counties may have Winter Weather Advisories issued later today as wintry precip is possible. Advisories issued for our neighbors to the North in NC. Reminder: Freezing rain is just rain but freezes once hits the ground, trees, etc; fools many because of this; but once above 32 degrees it really is just rain.
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