The Official Houston Area Weather (Merged Threads) (Austin: humidity, year)

[Texyn]

Originally Posted by cBach

Actually they were quite on the money. They said showers and high of around 80 and it's that in Austin now.

They said up to 15 inches of rain over the Middle Texas coast, yet so far, the highest amounts have been over at Beaumont.

And I'll leave you with this:

492
FXUS64 KHGX 192111
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
411 PM CDT Tue Jun 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
While the heaviest rains have remained east of the area (along and
near the TX/LA border)...we have seen a slight uptick in coverage/
intensity of the rainfall over the west/central portions of the FA
in the last couple of hours (via a small convergence boundary). At
this time...these have been the best/most organized rains in SE TX
today. If trends of the last few days do come to pass for this eve-
ning, we should see improving conditions over most areas (save for
the coast) after sunset. As such, we`ll likely let the Flash Flood
Advisory expire at 7 PM as planned...barring any last minute/crazy
developments. The FFAs will likely continue for locations east and
west of us tonight/tomorrow (per NWS LCH/EWX/CRP offices).

Otherwise, hard pressed to drop POPS significantly the next couple
of days given the lingering upper low over SC TX and the very deep
moisture (2.1" - 2.6" PWs) coming in from the Gulf. Cannot totally
rule out the possibility of rain bands setting up across SE TX, or
finally moving in from the east or west tomorrow (as most of these
models have been wont to do), but confidence remains low with this
happening given the previous trends with both the progs and actual
weather. These elevated POPS should be tapering off by Friday when
the next upper trof digging into Middle MS River Valley helps push
the upper low over SC TX further south. Weak ridging aloft will be
nudging in from the west through the weekend, and this should tran-
slate into a more typical SE TX summer pattern of mainly afternoon
showers/thunderstorms along the seabreeze. Also, warmer temps with
mostly sunny skies. Long-range guidance hinting that increased POP
chances may be in order by the start of next week as another surge
of deeper moisture moves in from the western Gulf. 41

https://forecast.weather.gov/product...n=1&glossary=1

[cBach]

Cherry picking huh:

"These elevated POPS should be tapering off by Friday when
the next upper trof digging into Middle MS River Valley helps push
the upper low over SC TX further south. "

[Texyn]

Originally Posted by cBach

Cherry picking huh:

"These elevated POPS should be tapering off by Friday when
the next upper trof digging into Middle MS River Valley helps push
the upper low over SC TX further south. "

Exactly, they're just saying that the rain chances will decrease, not dissapear completely. It's just a return back to the typical afternoon pop-up storms along the sea-breeze.

[cBach]

Originally Posted by Texyn

Exactly, they're just saying that the rain chances will decrease, not dissapear completely. It's just a return back to the typical afternoon pop-up storms along the sea-breeze.

In Houston not in Austin or Dallas. I recall you invading the Dallas thread saying they would get a rainy summer and that hasn't materialized.

[Texyn]

Originally Posted by cBach

In Houston not in Austin or Dallas. I recall you invading the Dallas thread saying they would get a rainy summer and that hasn't materialized.

I said that there was a chance that Dallas could be rainy. Didn't say it was a guarantee. The high pressure has to be far north enough, or there needs to be a broad enough jetstream trough with enough potent disturbances in northwesterly flow.

As for Austin, it has a better chance of being affected by sea-breeze storms than Dallas does, especially in the SE viewing areas east of the escarpment.

[Texyn]

Originally Posted by cBach

Cherry picking huh:

"These elevated POPS should be tapering off by Friday when
the next upper trof digging into Middle MS River Valley helps push
the upper low over SC TX further south. "

Oh, and the part that I bolded came after this part you quoted. Ergo, the ridge will return only briefly before the next wave of rain.

[Texyn]

That was a very epic tropical storm for many areas of the Texas coast! And it looks like only the first of more to come: already there is another inverted trough progged for early next week! The monsoonal Texas summer continues!

[cBach]

Originally Posted by Texyn

That was a very epic tropical storm for many areas of the Texas coast! And it looks like only the first of more to come: already there is another inverted trough progged for early next week! The monsoonal Texas summer continues!

Houston forecast is sunny for the next 7 days.
Austin forecast is sunny for the next 10 days.
Dallas forecast is sunny for the next 12 days.

Beyond that, it's hard to predict. Was mostly sunny in Austin today, no rain at all, but it was muggy. Need a few more sunny days to bake out the humidity.

[Texyn]

Originally Posted by cBach

Houston forecast is sunny for the next 7 days.
Austin forecast is sunny for the next 10 days.
Dallas forecast is sunny for the next 12 days.

Beyond that, it's hard to predict. Was mostly sunny in Austin today, no rain at all, but it was muggy. Need a few more sunny days to bake out the humidity.

Let me guess, you used the Weather Channel?

Nice service, but nothing can beat the locals when it comes to knowledge about the regional climate:


http://abc13.com/weather/

[cBach]

Originally Posted by Texyn

Let me guess, you used the Weather Channel?

Nice service, but nothing can beat the locals when it comes to knowledge about the regional climate:


Live Doppler 13 HD | Houston Weather News | abc13.com

Okay 6 days instead of 7, big difference.

I consider 30% and below as "it's not going to rain today" which means 9 days of no rain in Houston...