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Old 08-19-2023, 12:09 PM
 
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Wow, just looking at infrared satellite, the dry air on the West side has gotten into the storm, really doing a number on it on infrared sat channels. Should weaken more this afternoon. Still going to have tons of rain into the Southwest though, the hurricane is stuck in a channel of moisture being pulled Northward.
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Old 08-19-2023, 01:22 PM
 
Location: Land of the Free
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how much of the current rain along the AZ/CA border is monsoonal vs. part of this system?
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Old 08-19-2023, 03:04 PM
 
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Originally Posted by TheseGoTo11 View Post
how much of the current rain along the AZ/CA border is monsoonal vs. part of this system?
I was wondering that myself.
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Old 08-19-2023, 06:24 PM
 
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Originally Posted by TheseGoTo11 View Post
how much of the current rain along the AZ/CA border is monsoonal vs. part of this system?

Not fully sure. But was probably more monsoonal and/or moisture being funneled up between the upper level Low off CA's coast and the High to the East originally to a point, but the presence of Hilary is helping fetch more tropical moisture from further South as the hurricane is pulling it's moisture up from the South. Just another piece of the conveyor belt.

But now that dry air is really affecting the hurricane it's moisture is clearly being pulled Northward into the SW US now.
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Old 08-19-2023, 06:31 PM
 
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Sat 19Aug 5pPDT/8pEDT: Winds 100mph(155km/h), moving NNW 17mph(28km/h), pressure 964mb. Cat2 now.

Center about 240miles(390km) SSE of Punta Eugenia, Mexico
Center about 600miles(965km) SSE of San Diego, CA

Las Vegas weather radar is back online after temporary repairs made.
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Old 08-19-2023, 07:39 PM
 
Location: New York Area
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What I'm worried about is enhanced wildfires when there's a sudden, unseasonable surge of vegetation prior to September's and October's predictably brutal heat.
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Old 08-20-2023, 01:40 AM
 
Location: Seattle WA, USA
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Originally Posted by Oklazona Bound View Post
I don't think it will have much impact on say the Hoover dam or the Colorado River directly. However SoCal lakes should fill up from it and lakes further north depending on the track.
What are the chances of the Salton Sea as well as Laguna Salada filling up? Also will Tulare lake fill up even more?
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Old 08-20-2023, 10:19 AM
 
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Originally Posted by grega94 View Post
What are the chances of the Salton Sea as well as Laguna Salada filling up? Also will Tulare lake fill up even more?
There is video of flash flooding washing lots of water into the Salton Sea. Probably won't be enough water to make that big a difference.

My grandmother lived for years up near Lake Isabella which overflow water ends up in Tulare Lake and so I still kind of track what goes on up there. The lake filled up for the first time in decades which was great. So much outflow that Tulare Lake came back. I did notice the past few days they discharged a lot of water from the lake probably as a precaution to Hurricane Hilary. That being said the lake filled up with what hundreds of inches of snow in the mountains. A few inches of rain from Hilary is not at all comparable. But looking at the inflow in the lake in mid August. There has to still be snow melting because the flow is about 5 times higher than usual this time of year although it is slowly dropping each day. The rain from Hilary might melt the rest of it or add to the snow near the mountain peaks. They could get 5 inches of rain in 2 days. The previous 2 years before this year. That is what they got all year.


Looking locations in the mountains east of San Diego. Otay Mountain just had a 50mph gust of wind. Sustained winds at 30MPH. Crestwood had a 59MPH wind gust.

Last edited by Oklazona Bound; 08-20-2023 at 10:52 AM..
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Old 08-20-2023, 01:21 PM
 
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Sun 20Aug 11aPDT/2pEDT: Winds 65mph(100km/h), moving NNW 25mph(41km/h), pressure 988mb. Tropical Storm. Landfall made Northern Baja. Will come into US before too long. Lot of rain being pulled up across some areas, other areas just missing out.
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Old 08-20-2023, 06:25 PM
 
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Sun 20Aug 5pPDT/8pEDT: Winds 50mph(85km/h), moving N 23mph(37km/h), pressure 978mb.

Some wind obs:
Yuma, AZ 45mph(gust 69mph)
Imperial Co Airport 40mph(gust 63mph)
Some other wind obs: https://forecast.weather.gov/product...n=1&glossary=0
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