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I guess a lot of investors must feel the market it headed up.
the economy may be getting to strong and that is a crux of a lot of the market drops we see . i think we are still headed up for a while unless something not even on the radar changes things . i think rates will be a factor as to what happens . 3-4% on the 10 year could be a game changer
the economy may be getting to strong and that is a crux of a lot of the market drops we see . i think we are still headed up for a while unless something not even on the radar changes things . i think rates will be a factor as to what happens . 3-4% on the 10 year could be a game changer
or it could be headed down....or sideways..why even bother guessing?
we likely are , but as long term investors the temporary dips are all part of the deal .
we may adjust slightly but returns are always based on including those nasty's and every long period of time has done about the same return wise . generally within a 2% average return despite crashes , wars , downturns and depressions
Problem is, nobody knows when the next correction is going to take place -- but if you look at the history of it we have seen a correction / crash in
1973 to 1975
1987
June 1998 to March 2000
Sept 2008 to March 2009
It doesn't take Nostradamus to figure out that we might be due for another major correction as it has now been 9 years since the last one.
Buffet was not making a short term prediction. He was warning of a major correction sometime in the next "53 years".
Regarding smaller corrections, did you happen to notice that we had about a 15% correction that ran from the middle of 2015 well into 2016? We are now in another correction of only about 10%. That could reverse, stagnate or worsen. If you are looking for some sort of pattern, maybe you need a few more beers.
If we are looking at history as our guide to what will happen to the stock market in the future it is worth pointing out that big negative years ( -10%) are extremely rare. Happens roughly 10% of the time. To plan your investment choices based on that is a dangerous game.
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