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Old 01-19-2022, 03:52 PM
 
2,009 posts, read 1,212,275 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by My Kind Of Town View Post
We’re due for a bear market considering one occurs every two years on average. Nasdaq down about ~11.5% from ATH now so another 8.5% to go. Personally, I will be deploying a fair amount of capital once a bear market is hit and even more if the nasdaq sees a 30-35% drawdown. I’ll take out a home equity loan to load up on tech stocks if we see a 50-60% drawdown considering such a pullback would take us back to 2017/2018 levels.
A bear market occurs every two years?
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Old 01-19-2022, 04:18 PM
 
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Originally Posted by FREE866 View Post
A bear market occurs every two years?
24 bear market corrections within the nasdaq over the past 50 years. So, yea, about every two years on average.
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Old 01-19-2022, 04:25 PM
 
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Originally Posted by My Kind Of Town View Post
24 bear market corrections within the nasdaq over the past 50 years. So, yea, about every two years on average.
Your terminology is off

A bear market is different than a correction

A bear market is defined as a decline of more than 20% off of a high.

A correction is a decline of 10-20 % off of a high.

We are currently in a correction in the NASDAQ and Russell 2000

Corrections are very very common. And healthy within a bull market. Trying to time corrections and more so bear markets is an extremely difficult task.
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Old 01-19-2022, 04:51 PM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
31,340 posts, read 14,265,634 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FREE866 View Post
Your terminology is off

A bear market is different than a correction

A bear market is defined as a decline of more than 20% off of a high.

A correction is a decline of 10-20 % off of a high.

We are currently in a correction in the NASDAQ and Russell 2000

Corrections are very very common. And healthy within a bull market. Trying to time corrections and more so bear markets is an extremely difficult task.
Pay attention to the news. That will make it a lot easier to spot a correction.
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Old 01-19-2022, 04:56 PM
 
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Originally Posted by BeerGeek40 View Post
Pay attention to the news. That will make it a lot easier to spot a correction.


I’d actually suggest ignoring the noise ( news) if one is serious about investing for the long term
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Old 01-19-2022, 05:26 PM
 
Location: Victory Mansions, Airstrip One
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You can find good reasons to scuttle your equities in every morning paper and on every broadcast of the nightly news.

-- Peter Lynch
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Old 01-19-2022, 05:58 PM
 
3,497 posts, read 2,188,839 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FREE866 View Post
Your terminology is off

A bear market is different than a correction

A bear market is defined as a decline of more than 20% off of a high.

A correction is a decline of 10-20 % off of a high.

We are currently in a correction in the NASDAQ and Russell 2000

Corrections are very very common. And healthy within a bull market. Trying to time corrections and more so bear markets is an extremely difficult task.
Semantics. We’ve had 24 bear market (corrections) or 20% drawdowns from prior high within the nasdaq over the past 50 years. So yes ~1 every 2 years on average.
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Old 01-19-2022, 06:22 PM
 
2,009 posts, read 1,212,275 times
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Originally Posted by My Kind Of Town View Post
Semantics. We’ve had 24 bear market (corrections) or 20% drawdowns from prior high within the nasdaq over the past 50 years. So yes ~1 every 2 years on average.




It's not "semantics". They are actual definitions. Easily verifiable.



And we have not had twenty five 20%+ drawdowns in the Nasdaq over the last 50 years. Where are you getting that from???

Last edited by FREE866; 01-19-2022 at 06:53 PM..
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Old 01-19-2022, 07:03 PM
 
10,864 posts, read 6,480,995 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by My Kind Of Town View Post
We’re due for a bear market considering one occurs every two years on average. Nasdaq down about ~11.5% from ATH now so another 8.5% to go. Personally, I will be deploying a fair amount of capital once a bear market is hit and even more if the nasdaq sees a 30-35% drawdown. I’ll take out a home equity loan to load up on tech stocks if we see a 50-60% drawdown considering such a pullback would take us back to 2017/2018 levels.
there has to be a reason for bear market and right now there is not enough to justify a bear market,more like a correction .
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Old 01-19-2022, 07:03 PM
 
3,497 posts, read 2,188,839 times
Reputation: 1950
Quote:
Originally Posted by FREE866 View Post

It's not "semantics". They are actual definitions. Easily verifiable.



And we have not had twenty five 20%+ drawdowns in the Nasdaq over the last 50 years. Where are you getting that from???
Nasdaq has had 66 “corrections” and 24 “bear markets” since 1971. The fact that most people don’t realize we’ve had a bear market every couple years on average shows we’re due for another and just how strong the run since the Great Recession has been.

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