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Very few Americans grasp the true meaning of an 'economic collapse'. A true collapse is one where the value of the currency goes to zero. Think of post-war Germany or Latin American in the 70's or Zimbabwe today with +1000% inflation. We are nowhere near that. The closest this country has come to economic collapse was during the Great Depression.
Where we are headed is towards a major decision point where our government will decide what country this will become. There are essentially two options on the table:
1. A large government providing a lot of services, with sufficient revenues (high taxes) to pay for it. This is essentially the developed European model.
2. A small government providing minimal services and low tax rates. This would essentially return the United States prior to the New Deal. It would also eliminate a lot of things Americans have come to expect and depend on: Social Security, Medicare, cheap student loans, etc...
The problem is right now we have a mismatch; a relatively large government but with insufficient revenues to pay for its services, therefore incurring debt. This debt, however, is not creating new wealth but maintaining the status quo. A rational solution would call for reducing spending and increasing taxes until the debt is payed down to a more reasonable level, then find a middle point where spending and revenues are balanced. Unfortunately, politics is not dominated by the rational, but by who can scream the loudest.
When USD is no longer the reserve currency we will collapse. I think it is a few years away, at least I hope. Le Roi posted a good article a few days back where the writer thought the U S will become poorer but will still have a big strong military. If you look at both parties this could be where we are heading, which will lead to a big war.
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