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Old 02-08-2019, 01:03 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,579 posts, read 17,298,699 times
Reputation: 37339

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Williepaws View Post
True of the dems but independents when in the polling booth will vote for who will do the best job. Not married to either partys agenda. And it will all hinge on whom the dems choose to run. With some of the names being tossed around.. Trump will win by a landslide.
I'll go along with that.
Rasmussen talks to likely voters. Back just before the election, ALL pollsters talked to likely voters. Now they have mostly shifted to adults, or maybe registered voters.
The difference is plain for everyone to see. If you count adults (those over 18) the polls shift down.


The AOC type nutcases will kill the Dems.
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Old 02-08-2019, 01:04 PM
 
15,047 posts, read 8,876,449 times
Reputation: 9510
Quote:
Originally Posted by Williepaws View Post
True of the dems but independents when in the polling booth will vote for who will do the best job. Not married to either partys agenda. And it will all hinge on whom the dems choose to run. With some of the names being tossed around.. Trump will win by a landslide.
With 57% stating they will vote against Trump, a landslide is pretty unlikely. Note, they didn't say they would vote for the Democrat, because as of yet there is no Democratic candidate. They said they will vote against Trump, meaning it doesn't matter who the Democrat on the ballot is, they will vote for him/her. That's a pretty hard statistic to overcome.
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Old 02-08-2019, 01:07 PM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,297,448 times
Reputation: 7284
Quote:
Originally Posted by ottomobeale View Post
RCP average is the only one worth anything.
I like 538, which takes the inherent bias in every pollster into account, but RCP isn’t bad.

Trump’s averages got a boost when Gallup stopped doing daily updates. Prior to their demise they offset Rasmussen’s daily Trump leg humping.

Real Clear Politics currently has Trump’s approval at a net -12.2%.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...oval-6179.html

538, which weighs in-house bias and adjusts for it, has Trump at a net -15.0%.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ex_cid=rrpromo

Incidentally, the latest Rasmussen Poll, when adjusted for inherent bias by 538, goes from a 50%/49 (+1) Trump approval to 45%/50% (-5)

Last edited by Bureaucat; 02-08-2019 at 01:16 PM..
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Old 02-08-2019, 01:54 PM
 
Location: Caverns measureless to man...
7,588 posts, read 6,631,916 times
Reputation: 17966
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
Naive Trumplings don't seem to remember that presidents always get an approval boost after a SOTU speech.

It lasts a couple weeks or so, usually.
Or in his case, a couple of tweets.
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Old 02-08-2019, 02:17 PM
 
21,430 posts, read 7,461,898 times
Reputation: 13233
Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307 View Post
...

The AOC type nutcases will kill the Dems.
I don't know, I like her. She is just one of many parts of the continuing conversation.

The Democratic party is principled and genuinely concerned for the common people. The more I look at it the more impressed I am.
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Old 02-08-2019, 03:13 PM
 
5,606 posts, read 3,513,412 times
Reputation: 7414
Polls like this must get the Democrats seriously worried.
Just over half way through his term of office,with the ENTIRE media and political establishment having taken their best shots at him and still the Donald is riding high.
When will the Democrats understand a simple fact.If you want to beat Trump at the next election you need to come up with a young,dynamic candidate with no baggage,lots of money behind them and with an optimistic view of the future that doesn't simply parrot jaded Clinton slogans that lost her the last contest.
You're wasting too much time and energy on that space cadet,none-candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
The next election is two years away.
You should have a solid,nailed-on candidate right now making headway.
Instead,people are still yacking on about Bernie Sanders.
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Old 02-08-2019, 03:16 PM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,297,448 times
Reputation: 7284
Quote:
Originally Posted by Roscoe Conkling View Post
Polls like this must get the Democrats seriously worried.
Just over half way through his term of office,with the ENTIRE media and political establishment having taken their best shots at him and still the Donald is riding high.
When will the Democrats understand a simple fact.If you want to beat Trump at the next election you need to come up with a young,dynamic candidate with no baggage,lots of money behind them and with an optimistic view of the future that doesn't simply parrot jaded Clinton slogans that lost her the last contest.
You're wasting too much time and energy on that space cadet,none-candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
The next election is two years away.
You should have a solid,nailed-on candidate right now making headway.
Instead,people are still yacking on about Bernie Sanders.
Thank you for your heartfelt concerns.

The Democratic Party will take it under advisement.
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Old 02-08-2019, 03:30 PM
 
Location: Somewhere out there.
10,535 posts, read 6,169,672 times
Reputation: 6574
Quote:
Originally Posted by MUTGR View Post



Well no worries, I have faith in him that he will bring it all crashing down again with his next dumb tweet.
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Old 02-08-2019, 03:33 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,470,309 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by Roscoe Conkling View Post
Polls like this must get the Democrats seriously worried.
Just over half way through his term of office,with the ENTIRE media and political establishment having taken their best shots at him and still the Donald is riding high.
When will the Democrats understand a simple fact.If you want to beat Trump at the next election you need to come up with a young,dynamic candidate with no baggage,lots of money behind them and with an optimistic view of the future that doesn't simply parrot jaded Clinton slogans that lost her the last contest.
You're wasting too much time and energy on that space cadet,none-candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
The next election is two years away.
You should have a solid,nailed-on candidate right now making headway.
Instead,people are still yacking on about Bernie Sanders.
This is proof reading comprehension just doesn't exist. You literally bumped a Primary poll thread from 3 years ago LMAO.
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Old 02-08-2019, 03:37 PM
 
Location: Cape Cod
24,502 posts, read 17,245,671 times
Reputation: 35799
We shouldn't trust any polls but it is fun to imagine that Trump is so popular and it must be really upsetting some of the Liberal Loons.
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