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Of course you didn't say that when Obama held large rallies. Poor dear. He can't even get a few hundred angry Europeans to show up for him these days.
I never said anything about Obama rallies.
Crowd sizes at rallies are meaningless. Especially in a nation of 350 million or so, it's no problem finding large crowds for even the most unpopular of politicians. Let's say you have a politician supported by 0.1% of the population. 0.1% of 350 million is 3.5 million. With a pool of 3.5 million fans, filling an arena of 20K is no problem, given enough organizing effort.
They believed she would win the popular vote by 2.1%. She did. Most people don't believe the right-leaning Rasmussen. The president tweets that particular poll, that's all you need to know.
they were not predicting popular vote and you know it! They were following CNNs narrative that Trump had "no path to 370".. stop the lying, you look silly.
How so?. I said he'd beat Hillary. He beat Hillary.
(hint: CNN isn't true)
Hint: neither are the polls that you believe in when you have clearly stated in the past as well as your own post that you do not believe in polls that paint Trump in the negative.
By the way, the Rasmussen polls are heavily bias towards conservatives.
I've said many times, I'm not a believer in polls, but I'll post this one here for the ones who claim they are a great indicator of electability. And now Trump is far far more popular than the hapless community agitator according to this poll.
Crowd sizes at rallies are meaningless. Especially in a nation of 350 million or so, it's no problem finding large crowds for even the most unpopular of politicians. Let's say you have a politician supported by 0.1% of the population. 0.1% of 350 million is 3.5 million. With a pool of 3.5 million fans, filling an arena of 20K is no problem, given enough organizing effort.
One must also calculate if a nearby business has provided time off and busses for their employees to attend like Koch's did for Tea party rallies.
Didn't the Real Clear Politics site predict that Hillary would be president right now?
No. Real Clear Politics doesn't publish opinions. It amalgamates polls and publishes their averages.
The 53% Trump favorability must have come from Rasmussen, the only outlier in RCP that was in the 50 percentile at 53%.
All the other 8 that RCP routinely averages were in the 40s. One was 41%, 3 were 42%, 2 were 43%, and one was 46%.
In all, RCP has Trump's approval at 44%, down 7.1 points since the last poll aggregate.
Last edited by banjomike; 04-09-2019 at 01:07 PM..
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