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Old 05-07-2018, 03:07 PM
 
Location: Austin
15,631 posts, read 10,385,367 times
Reputation: 19523

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are trump's past alleged sex romps with porn stars and other women boosting his popularity? the press reports these alleged sexual escapades as moral turpitude and trump's popularity rating keeps rising. just wondering.
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:08 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,563 posts, read 17,271,154 times
Reputation: 37273
5/7/2018

Polls continue to tilt toward Trump.
Both Rasmussen and Reuters show a 49/49 tie between Approval and disapproval.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...oval-6179.html


His average approval is 44.2% at RCP and 43.6% at 538, when considering only polls of registered voters.

Trump's gains are slow. Perhaps that means they are more solid than Bush, who surged quickly and then faded quickly.
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:17 PM
 
Location: Northridge/Porter Ranch, Calif.
24,508 posts, read 33,303,120 times
Reputation: 7622
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2sleepy View Post
Polls do not predict, they state the given probability of an event. If Clinton had a 90% chance of winning that does not mean that Trump couldn't win.

If the probability of a coin landing on heads is 50% that does not mean the result would be fake if you tossed a coin 10 times and it never landed on heads.
But the prediction was, at one time, 90% for Hillary. What happened?!

It's a lot different from coin toss.
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:18 PM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,364,321 times
Reputation: 17261
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fleet View Post
But the prediction was, at one time, 90% for Hillary. What happened?!

It's a lot different from coin toss.
Oh look, one out of 10 times a 10 sided die lands on a 1.

And?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fleet View Post
Remember when the prediction was that Hillary had a 90% chance of winning?
And when the prediction was she would win over 300 electoral votes?

It would be nice if people remembered history!

It would be nice if people remember what polls are, and how probability works. But here we are.
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:29 PM
 
Location: San Diego
18,724 posts, read 7,602,949 times
Reputation: 14996
Trump's average approval rating is now 2% higher than when he won the Presidency


And that's after 16 months of solid, nonstop hatred, denigration, bashing, and lies 24/7 from the mainstream media.

Can you imagine what his ratings would be if he had NOT been treated worse than Charles Manson, Typhoid Mary, and Adolf Hitler rolled into one?
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:31 PM
 
Location: Northridge/Porter Ranch, Calif.
24,508 posts, read 33,303,120 times
Reputation: 7622
Here is an example...

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Old 05-07-2018, 03:32 PM
 
34,278 posts, read 19,364,321 times
Reputation: 17261
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fleet View Post
Here is an example...
Yes, we know already that you do not understand probability. What is your point?
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:34 PM
 
Location: Manchester NH
15,507 posts, read 6,428,938 times
Reputation: 4831
it looks like trump is back.
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:44 PM
 
Location: Just over the horizon
18,454 posts, read 7,085,120 times
Reputation: 11699
Quote:
Originally Posted by t206 View Post
I'd have to guess that the only reasons would be tied to N. Korea and/or the economy?
That and the longer the Mueller investigation drags
on and meanders off track to irrelevant fluff like Stormy Daniels, the more people realize that it wasn’t warranted in the first place

But that’s the risk you take when you start a witch hunt and have to settle for stale Halloween candy.
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Old 05-07-2018, 03:47 PM
 
Location: San Diego
18,724 posts, read 7,602,949 times
Reputation: 14996
Quote:
Originally Posted by jackwinkelman View Post
I think Trump has magnified the ugliest side of politics and the dems are right there doing the same thing trying to match him insult by insult. Neither side has any shame. Unfortunately neither side has a high road.
TRANSLATION: After decades of Democrats screaming that Republicans were poisoning the air, starving children, dispossessing senior citizens, stating wars, throwing Granny off the cliff etc., Republicans finally had enough of it and elected someone who is fighting back, not letting them get away with it any more. And NOW we Democrats have to pretend this is a new "ugliest side of politics", and hope somebody believes us.
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