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If this were true, there is absolutely positively no chance that the odds makers would have him far and away the leading candidate to win, even though that doesnt mean he is automatically removed from office. There is just zero logic in that.
I'm providing my odds! - not Vegas odds!
I believe the polls which are scientific vs. bookies in Vegas. I follow 538 (Nate Silver) and Rachel Bitecofer who absolutely nailed the 2020 Blue Wave. People who bother to read these two will see their detailed analysis, which BTW is almost always dead-on. (Please safe your keystrokes about "polls had it wrong in 2016" - they didn't. Polls were within 2% and they couldn't catch the last minute change due to Comey's "more emails." Polls said that Comey cost Hillary the election - people figured "I can't vote for either one of these jerks or they flipped to Trump.")
A smaller economy coming out of a downturn in the business cycle is much different than a larger economy later in a business cycle people cmon. Also, Dow near record territory again, S&P well over record highs. Where are all the people claiming the market was crashing a month ago? We’re well in to the volatile period.
Yeah, "Dow near record territory again." It's also fallen just as many times. Its bobbing and weaving like a prize fighter.
I NEVER said that "the market is crashing!" I DID say that the market has gone sideways since May 2018 which happens to coincide with the beginning of the Trade War w China. The market had gone up ~10% per year for the previous 8-9 years. Bigly difference.
Specifically the S&P was at 2900 Jan. 2018 - its now ~ 3000 - this is a 3% bump. Look it up!
This stagnation ain't "business cycle," it's purely Trade War induced. Have you noticed that mfg is in recession? Have you noticed that Trade War cost us 300,000 jobs and .7% GDP? It ain't a coincidence that the market is flat
I believe the polls which are scientific vs. bookies in Vegas. I follow 538 (Nate Silver) and Rachel Bitecofer who absolutely nailed the 2020 Blue Wave. People who bother to read these two will see their detailed analysis, which BTW is almost always dead-on. (Please safe your keystrokes about "polls had it wrong in 2016" - they didn't. Polls were within 2% and they couldn't catch the last minute change due to Comey's "more emails." Polls said that Comey cost Hillary the election - people figured "I can't vote for either one of these jerks or they flipped to Trump.")
JMO
$bet however you like t206
OK, well I'll take the word of professional odds makers who as a group have similar predictions, and have millions of dollars riding on being right over your prediction.
I'm not betting on any of it anyway. My original reason for bringing up the vegas odds is because they are a viable alternative to polls.
The fact that you heard or read something that is nowhere near the actual truth and no other site even comes close to backing it up seems like quite a stretch, and now you are taking it out on me because you can't back it up anywhere.
1- I'm from NY and I know a con-man when I see one
2- I'm a career salesman. There's a 'saying' among us salesmen: "you can't BS a salesman - we know when someone is BSing"
It's comic relief for me to hear Trump BSing non-stop
What's even funnier is listening to Trump supporters:
1- Trump didn't say that
2- Trump said it but he didn't mean it
3- Trump is misunderstood
4 - you took it outta context
5- so what if he said it
6- Crooked Hillary
7- "Fake news"
8-Trump is trolling the Libs
9-But...but...but...Obama!
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