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Old 03-05-2020, 06:21 AM
 
Location: Florida
76,971 posts, read 47,668,310 times
Reputation: 14806

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Finn_Jarber View Post
As pointed out earlier they are two different figures. 10-20% of those who were infected with Spanish Flu (H1N1) died, which amounted to 2-3% of the population. Corona kills 3.4% of those infected. Of course if it gets out of control, then 3.4% will amount to millions.

Surprisingly Mike Pence just mandated private insurance companies carry the cost of testing for it, which will give them a legit reason to hike insurance premiums for everyone

100 million sick, and 4 million dead Americans is not a big deal......
Quote:
Originally Posted by TwoByFour View Post
Not correct. Corona kills 3-4% of the confirmed cases. We don't know what fraction of people who get Corona end up getting tested but the suspicion is that it is a small fraction.
That is how it works, so it is very correct.

 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:24 AM
 
Location: Haiku
7,132 posts, read 4,772,153 times
Reputation: 10327
If you notice, most of the spread of the virus has been from tourism. Russia in the winter is not exactly a big tourist draw.

India and Pakistan also have a very low number - less than 10 cases total. India has more tourism so I expect that number will rise soon. Once it does, look out. India is crowded and does not have the government control or infrastructure to deal with it. And it has almost a billion people.
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:24 AM
 
Location: Former land of plenty
3,212 posts, read 1,654,050 times
Reputation: 2017
Quote:
Originally Posted by Finn_Jarber View Post
Mike Pence just mandated private insurance companies to carry the cost of testing for the virus, which gives them a legit excuse to hike premiums for everyone.
...and still blame Obamacare.
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:26 AM
 
Location: Del Rio, TN
39,875 posts, read 26,532,311 times
Reputation: 25777
Quote:
Originally Posted by pretty in black View Post
Tell that to the people who died. Idiot.
Should we do the same with the 12,000 that died in 2009 from our failure to react to and contain the H1N1 virus? Most of them, younger, otherwise healthy people?
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:27 AM
 
20,955 posts, read 8,685,020 times
Reputation: 14050
Of course it is truth. Truth is also that Trump and the GOP has been working hard to do away with health insurance for millions - and they have already taken MILLIONS off the rolls.

They also, as we speak, are trying to do away with pre-existing condition clauses.

Lots more that we don't see. Tip of the Iceberg.

But they make no bones about it. The is a feature according to them....it allows more money to go to the top. That's the whole Religion of the Right.

I wonder why people even talk about this. It's been obvious since "let em die" was shouted out by the GOP faithful.
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:30 AM
 
Location: Del Rio, TN
39,875 posts, read 26,532,311 times
Reputation: 25777
Quote:
Originally Posted by TwoByFour View Post
Not correct. Corona kills 3-4% of the confirmed cases. We don't know what fraction of people who get Corona end up getting tested but the suspicion is that it is a small fraction.
China has/had around 80,000 infected. There population is what, 1.3 billion? That works out to .006% of the population infected, with far fewer dead (their death toll is what, 2500 or so?). Just 11 years ago we had 59 million infected with H1N1 and 12,000 deaths, out of a population 1/4 the size of China. This is something to be concerned about-but put it in perspective. It's far less of an issue (at the moment at least) than things we've been through in the recent past. But of course in 2009, no one was trying to politicize the pandemic.
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:43 AM
 
Location: New Jersey
16,911 posts, read 10,600,924 times
Reputation: 16439
Cuomo said that this was “like trying to stop air.” The guy in NY infected pretty much everyone he came in contact with.
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:49 AM
 
Location: So Ca
26,747 posts, read 26,841,237 times
Reputation: 24800
Medicaid is perhaps the prime target of the Trump healthcare wrecking crew. The Trump administration wants to hobble Medicaid by converting it to a block-grant program. The coronavirus shows exactly why that idea would be sheer folly.

Medicaid is the nation’s largest public healthcare program, with more than 71 million enrollees as of the end of 2019. Because the federal government covers at least 50% and as much as 90% of states’ expenditures for those enrollees, it’s ideal for delivering the kind of services that will be urgently needed as COVID-19 spreads across the country.

It’s also uniquely flexible. States are responsible for enrollments and treatments, and hand the bills over to the feds for the appropriate reimbursement. That allows Medicaid funding to rise or fall with need, responding to unforeseen shocks.

In the past, such shocks have included storms like Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico, new and expensive technologies like hepatitis C cures or disease outbreaks like Zika — or COVID-19.

Block grants don’t respond to shocks. Under an administration proposal made official on Jan. 30, states would receive a lump sum for Medicaid based on their past experience. If their spending came in below the lump sum, they could pocket the difference for spending on other health programs; if it exceeded the block grant, they’d be on the hook for the excess, 100%.

The danger here is obvious. COVID-19 is almost certain to drive up screening and treatment costs in almost every state. To contain its spread, many residents will have to be tested. Some will have to be quarantined in hospital wards, served by medical professionals with specialized equipment.

Under the best circumstances, the public health infrastructure of even affluent states will be tested; in poor states, it will face utter collapse. If they’re reliant on Medicaid to help cover the cost, they’ll be sunk.


The coronavirus crisis exposes the stupidity of Trump’s healthcare policies:
https://www.latimes.com/business/sto...mps-healthcare
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:50 AM
 
Location: Haiku
7,132 posts, read 4,772,153 times
Reputation: 10327
Quote:
Originally Posted by Toyman at Jewel Lake View Post
China has/had around 80,000 infected. There population is what, 1.3 billion? That works out to .006% of the population infected, with far fewer dead (their death toll is what, 2500 or so?). Just 11 years ago we had 59 million infected with H1N1 and 12,000 deaths, out of a population 1/4 the size of China. This is something to be concerned about-but put it in perspective. It's far less of an issue (at the moment at least) than things we've been through in the recent past. But of course in 2009, no one was trying to politicize the pandemic.
China has 80,000 confirmed cases. We don't know how many people have actually been infected but the presumption is it is much higher.

But you are right - the death rate is extremely small in Hubei province, the hardest hit. The population of Hubei is 59 million people and only 2700 deaths. If we scale that to the US we would have 13,000 deaths which is way less than the seasonal flu current total of 18,000.
 
Old 03-05-2020, 06:56 AM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,081 posts, read 51,259,863 times
Reputation: 28330
Quote:
Originally Posted by TwoByFour View Post
China has 80,000 confirmed cases. We don't know how many people have actually been infected but the presumption is it is much higher.

But you are right - the death rate is extremely small in Hubei province, the hardest hit. The population of Hubei is 59 million people and only 2700 deaths. If we scale that to the US we would have 13,000 deaths which is way less than the seasonal flu current total of 18,000.
We can't scale it to the US because we don't have equivalent responses by health authorities. The US is not taking counter measures at all, not even doing much testing. China locked down those millions in their homes and apartments while in the US, sick people have been walking around in their communities and traveling far and wide for weeks. The day late, dollar short botched response in the US will result in an entirely different pattern of cases and outcomes. We don't yet know what that will be, but Italy is probably a better model than China.
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