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Old 06-15-2020, 04:07 PM
 
5,450 posts, read 2,720,591 times
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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/th...ave-2020-06-15

Marketwatch

The surge in coronavirus cases in some states isn’t part of a ‘second wave’
Published: June 15, 2020 at 3:15 p.m. ET


Many of the predictions for a second wave have anticipated that it would hit in the fall, if it does occur, either due to a change in the season or people spending more time indoors, where the virus is thought to be more easily transmitted

“When you think about the wave in the ocean, it comes to shore and it recedes, then another wave comes in,” Dr. Leana Wen, an emergency physician and public health professor at George Washington University, said by email. “By that way of thinking, we aren’t in the second wave now because we’re still in the first wave.”


“We are seeing a notable uptick in identified cases in several states,” Raymond James analysts wrote in a June 15 note to investors. “We expected this uptick and anticipate other states will also see upticks as reopenings continue. This isn’t a second wave, this is another swell that is part of the ‘first wave’ of this virus.”

__________________________________________________ _____

"uptick" sounds cuter than "wave" hope stays that way and then goes away
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Old 06-16-2020, 11:17 AM
 
Location: Ohio
24,621 posts, read 19,177,123 times
Reputation: 21743
Quote:
Originally Posted by jonbenson View Post
Marketwatch

The surge in coronavirus cases in some states isn’t part of a ‘second wave’
Published: June 15, 2020 at 3:15 p.m. ET


Many of the predictions for a second wave have anticipated that it would hit in the fall, if it does occur, either due to a change in the season or people spending more time indoors, where the virus is thought to be more easily transmitted

"uptick" sounds cuter than "wave" hope stays that way and then goes away
"Uptick" is correct.

A wave occurs when it sweeps back through a previously hit area.

Contrary to what you might believe, COVID-19 is not in the "ether" and it isn't being dropped in canisters from Russian Bear bombers.

The Plains States and the Southwest have extremely low population densities and limited contact with international travelers, so they were not immediately "hit" with COVID-19, but now Americans traveling to those States are spreading it there.

It will continue to spread all Summer long all over the US.

Excluding the four strains of corona virus that cause the common cold, all corona virus cause Influenza-like symptoms, which is why they are classified as Influenza-like Illnesses (ILI in the medical literature) and like all ILIs caused by corona, influenza, parainfluenza, adenovirus and respiratory synctical virus (RSV), they do not fare well outside a human host during Summer.

That reduces/limits the spread, but does not eliminate it.

That's why Flu Season is October-March in the Northern Hemisphere and April to September in the Southern Hemisphere.

Flu Season is not just "flu" it's corona virus, influenza, parainfluenza, adenovirus and RSV.

Less than 1% of Americans have been infected, although the reality is it's probably 3% because people who had it in December, January and February didn't know they had, but probably realize that now.

You need 90% of your population to be infected to get "herd immunity" assuming "herd immunity" is a real thing and you ain't even close to that.

It might be 5-10 years before 50% of your population has it.

So, when Flu Season starts, you are going to see a second wave.
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Old 06-16-2020, 11:19 AM
 
20,757 posts, read 8,588,145 times
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I predict we will have much lower rates of all communicable diseases because people are more conscious of hygiene. The easiest way is handwashing and not touching your face. Stores will be more vigilant with cleaning. That's the good thing that came out of this plandemic.
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Old 06-16-2020, 11:24 AM
 
Location: Metro Detroit
610 posts, read 264,259 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PilgrimsProgress View Post
I predict we will have much lower rates of all communicable diseases because people are more conscious of hygiene. The easiest way is handwashing and not touching your face. Stores will be more vigilant with cleaning. That's the good thing that came out of this plandemic.

Agreed! It is still disturbing to me how washing your hands was a new concept to so many people
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