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Just curious - how long do folks think that the Republican Party will be in minority status in Congress - that is - be minorities in BOTH the House and Senate???
I personally think it will be at least a generation (25 years) for them to regain either the House or Senate.
They have pretty much lost the youth vote... and the black vote... and independents are turning against them in greater and greater numbers...
Right now they are a Southeast/Midwest party that only has appeal in Bible-Belt states...
Originally posted by mrbob
Just curious - how long do folks think that the Republican Party will be in minority status in Congress???
I personally think it will be at least a generation (25 years) for them to regain either the House or Senate.
They have pretty much lost the youth vote... and the black vote... and independents are turning against them in greater and greater numbers...
Right now they are a Southeast/Midwest party that only has appeal in Bible-Belt states...
Depends on what you mean by "minority party". You can win an election yet still have your ideas be in the minority. Like in 1992 when the Dems won. Clinton was not liberal, and though he got some stuff passed, he was still operating in the shadow of Reagan. In that sense the Dems were still the minority even if they had power. If you want to go further back, look at Eisenhower. Sure he was a successful Republican, but did he really undo the New Deal? No. So that said....
I think the GOP can get their act together in about ten years, but it will be a good generation at least before they can become the "party of ideas" again--where their ideas can dominate the ideological debate in this country. But at that point, the Republicans will be more moderate than they are now. Minority parties always become more moderate when they're in the minority long enough. Again, look at Eisenhower/Nixon and Clinton.
Depends on what you mean by "minority party". You can win an election yet still have your ideas be in the minority. Like in 1992 when the Dems won. Clinton was not liberal, and though he got some stuff passed, he was still operating in the shadow of Reagan. In that sense the Dems were still the minority even if they had power. If you want to go further back, look at Eisenhower. Sure he was a successful Republican, but did he really undo the New Deal? No. So that said....
I think the GOP can get their act together in about ten years, but it will be a good generation at least before they can become the "party of ideas" again--where their ideas can dominate the ideological debate in this country. But at that point, the Republicans will be more moderate than they are now. Minority parties always become more moderate when they're in the minority long enough. Again, look at Eisenhower/Nixon and Clinton.
Just my .02 cents
By 'Minority Party' I mean that they hold under 50% of the seats in the House and Senate...
At least a generation - they have so screwed college students by reducing aid to universities and grants/loans to students that I can't imagine any in the current college generation ever voting for them...
Once Obama's policies start to take effect and turn around this economic train wreck that the Republicans gave us - I think they will be absolute toast for at least 10 years...
People will see them as the 'ostructionist' party and devoid of any credible ideas of their own.
At least a generation - they have so screwed college students by reducing aid to universities and grants/loans to students that I can't imagine any in the current college generation ever voting for them...
Once Obama's policies start to take effect and turn around this economic train wreck that the Republicans gave us - I think they will be absolute toast for at least 10 years...
People will see them as the 'ostructionist' party and devoid of any credible ideas of their own.
Even democrats are concerned that if the economy doesn't turn around by the 2010 election they may lose a lot of seats in one or both houses of congress. They need to consult the city data political strategists.
Just curious - how long do folks think that the Republican Party will be in minority status in Congress - that is - be minorities in BOTH the House and Senate???
I personally think it will be at least a generation (25 years) for them to regain either the House or Senate.
They have pretty much lost the youth vote... and the black vote... and independents are turning against them in greater and greater numbers...
Right now they are a Southeast/Midwest party that only has appeal in Bible-Belt states...
Dream on. History is repeating itself. I predict 2010 the Democrats will be back in the minority, at the rate they are going with their leftist agenda, propelled by Obama.
Once Obama's policies start to take effect and turn around this economic train wreck that the Republicans gave us - I think they will be absolute toast for at least 10 years...
Just curious - how long do folks think that the Republican Party will be in minority status in Congress - that is - be minorities in BOTH the House and Senate???
I personally think it will be at least a generation (25 years) for them to regain either the House or Senate.
They have pretty much lost the youth vote... and the black vote... and independents are turning against them in greater and greater numbers...
Right now they are a Southeast/Midwest party that only has appeal in Bible-Belt states...
They are definitely in disarray right now. I suspect it will be at least 8 years, if not more. They went away from their base and conservative values. George Bush spent like a drunken Sailor (no offense to you Sailors out there), and did a lot of harm to the party.
When the inflation rate skyrockets and people see that the rich aren't going to pay for everything they will want change again.Saw this after the 70's recession but it probabaly will be worse because of the massive goverament spending that has to be paid back;so many will be deep in debt after the recession with no easy credit and many areas of the countriy will not recover for decades as companies get smaller or disappear that are the main employers.
When the inflation rate skyrockets and people see that the rich aren't going to pay for everything they will want change again.Saw this after the 70's recession but it probabaly will be worse because of the massive goverament spending that has to be paid back;so many will be deep in debt after the recession with no easy credit and many areas of the countriy will not recover for decades as companies get smaller or disappear that are the main employers.
Most intelligent people will see that any adverse economic effects over the next several years are the fault of the terrible mismanagement of the economy by Bush and his minions in Congress.
People know that this economic mess is the fault of Dubya and the Republicans...
Spin to your heart's content - every national poll says you are dead wrong...
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