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View Poll Results: Which is more likely?
Zero rainfall in LA for an entire winter 19 44.19%
Zero snow for NYC for an entire winter 14 32.56%
Both are IMPOSSIBLE 10 23.26%
Voters: 43. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 01-15-2014, 08:36 PM
 
Location: HERE
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Which of these two scenarios is most likely?

A) Los Angeles, California getting ZERO rain, not even a trace, for an entire winter season (November through April- the season where they get 90 percent of their rain anyway so it means almost zero rain for an entire year).

or

B) New York City, New York getting ZERO snowfall for an entire winter season (not even a trace of accumulation; flurries are acceptable if they don't stick) for the an entire winter season.

or

C) Both are impossible
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Old 01-15-2014, 08:38 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
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seems to me that at the pace we are going we will see no rain, but I think it would be to extreme if that occurs, so...

both imposible

IMO
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Old 01-15-2014, 08:38 PM
 
Location: IN
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Not impossible but quite rare.

On another note, there is a possibility of an El Nino developing later this year that could impact the NEXT rainy season for the West Coast. Stay tuned...
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Old 01-15-2014, 09:35 PM
 
Location: Northville, MI
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NYC with zero snow is more likely in my opinion.

Last edited by nei; 01-15-2014 at 10:35 PM.. Reason: response to deleted post
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Old 01-15-2014, 09:43 PM
 
Location: Lincoln, NE
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72-73 had 2.7" and only a Trace not too far away in Philadelphia. I think there is a chance one winter in the next 100 years NYC will only have a Trace, but don't see how it can have zero. The no rain in LA would also be a very rare event if not impossible, but I think that has a better chance of happening.
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Old 01-15-2014, 09:44 PM
 
Location: New York
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Interesting question, both are very possible, but I really don't know which scenario is more likely.

LA's (Downtown) driest winter (1963-64) had 1.43" of rain.

NYC's (JFK) least snowiest winter (1972-73) had 1.60" of snow.

Being that snow isn't nearly as "wet" as rain, I'm leaning towards NYC, that 1.60" of snow had a much greater chance of being nothing compared to 1.43" of rain.
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Old 01-15-2014, 10:29 PM
 
Location: Anne Arundel County, MD
1,006 posts, read 951,676 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cloudcrash619 View Post
72-73 had 2.7" and only a Trace not too far away in Philadelphia. I think there is a chance one winter in the next 100 years NYC will only have a Trace, but don't see how it can have zero. The no rain in LA would also be a very rare event if not impossible, but I think that has a better chance of happening.
There are only 9 seasons in the Central Park record with snowfall < 10": NYC Central Park Monthly Snowfall

I remember there being a post by the Capital Weather Gang analysing snow at DCA, PHL, LGA, and BOS and their conclusion being that in recent years, small-accumulation events are decreasing in frequency but 10" (?) storms are becoming somewhat more common at New York and Boston.
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Old 01-15-2014, 10:37 PM
 
Location: Sydney, Australia
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Most deserts rarely get zero rainfall in a year. So Los Angeles is just hopeless in this case.

I put my money on NYC getting zero snowfall. It's near the ocean, thus making snow much less possible.
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Old 01-16-2014, 04:46 AM
 
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Zero snow for NYC.
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Old 01-16-2014, 07:33 PM
 
Location: HERE
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Infamous92 View Post
Interesting question, both are very possible, but I really don't know which scenario is more likely.

LA's (Downtown) driest winter (1963-64) had 1.43" of rain.

NYC's (JFK) least snowiest winter (1972-73) had 1.60" of snow.

Being that snow isn't nearly as "wet" as rain, I'm leaning towards NYC, that 1.60" of snow had a much greater chance of being nothing compared to 1.43" of rain.

L.A has HAD rainless Januaries, Februaries, and Marches (although they were not consecutive) and if things continue the way they have been, we could have a January through March of 2014 with zero rainfall (L.A. had some light rainfall (but still well below average) in November and December so having a totally rainless winter is out of the question.
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