Autumn/Fall 2017 Thread (Sept-Oct-Nov) (snowing, record, temp, day)

[FirebirdCamaro1220]

25.6°C with a dewpoint of 8.9°C at noon Mountain Time

[cjoseph]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Me too. I thought we would see like 1-10 feet somewhere.. lol I cheated and checked NWS Buffalo discussion to see if they mention why. This is such a great discussion overall, I actually didn't know what to post, so here's the link to it. Incredible discussion all around and they do mention models have a tough time with Lake Effects


https://forecast.weather.gov/product...&highlight=off

Yeah there is just really a lack of moisture with this event. Plus, it is a NW wind direction, which is not conducive to monster totals off Erie or Ontario.

[Acajack]

The record mild autumn of 2017 ends in just a couple of hours here.


Currently at 8C or about 48F. Dropping down to -12C or about 12F overnight. If we make it down to -12C it will break the record low for this date.


Not much accumulating snow overnight but we might get a light dusting. They're saying the roads might be slippery.


High of only -8C tomorrow or 18F.


Then back up within a couple of degrees above or below the freezing mark for the next little while. Which is more or less where we should be.


We've had three or four nights at or just a pinch below freezing so far.

[Cambium]

My water Valves are off. Sun is down. I'm Ready.


Updated Maps..


2pm Surface Map







4:20pmEST temps and radar. Minnesota is 20-25 below normal.







After this quick Arctic Blast we simply moderate. No big heat surges in the East, stays mostly seasonable side.


And then...... signs pointing to some CRAZY blocking next week and they could spell some more INTERESTING weather.


Latest Euro for November 19th

[FirebirdCamaro1220]

28.9°C with a dewpoint of 7.8°C at 3pm Mountain Time

[rpvan]

Looks like the PNW will be entering a prolonged warm stretch beginning later next week, potentially lasting through mid December. Good news for those of us hoping for a back loaded winter.

[FirebirdCamaro1220]

Today's high temp was 29.4°C, 1.6°C above average; and this mornings low was 17.8°C, 3.9°C above average

Currently 28.9°C with a dewpoint of 8.3°C at 5pm Mountain Time

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by rpvan

Looks like the PNW will be entering a prolonged warm stretch beginning later next week, potentially lasting through mid December. Good news for those of us hoping for a back loaded winter.

Looking like it if this is the new pattern with these troughs digging in the East, a repeat of how Summer was.. Finally for us here maybe a cold snowy front half (Nov-Dec) But what if it lasts all winter. lol. Doubt it. Usually it's like half and half or couple weeks worth.

Originally Posted by Acajack

Currently at 8C or about 48F. Dropping down to -12C or about 12F overnight. If we make it down to -12C it will break the record low for this date.


Not much accumulating snow overnight but we might get a light dusting. They're saying the roads might be slippery.
.

Looks like Toronto changed to snow past couple hours. Not sure how much they're getting but looks cold and snowy behind this front.


Still 47° here. Our max tomorrow will come after midnight tonight. Hate that.

[Cambium]

Gonna feel like January across the Region tomorrow and Saturday.


Here are the lowest wind chill forecast







Current winds and upper heights as the trough digs in. You can see why the Lake Effect snows are moving in those directions off Superior, Michigan, Huron

White arrows = 110mph winds at 18,000 feet. (Strong Arctic Jet)

[speagles84]

36° and cloudy in Kane, PA. Temperature dropping quick out here in the middle of nowhere