Autumn/Fall 2017 Thread (Sept-Oct-Nov) (snowy, 2015, storm, place)

[B87]

September will be warmer than average and sunnier than July or August. October average and then November will be well above average and very wet.

21c, 16c, 14c.

[chicagogeorge]

NMME shows September about average here, or a little above

[chicagogeorge]

CFSv2 more neutral here, but warm still in Europe




Canadian has it warm here but a cool pool for Northwest Europe this autumn






GFDL





NCAR





And NASA has us in the Great Lakes with below average temps this autumn, and the poles frigid lol

[Isleofpalms85]

^^^^^


I wonder which of those models has the best track record and the most skill for predicting the weather for the lead season in question

After such a lame and a lackluster summer in much of the eastern two thirds of the lower 48 states, I would love to have a newsworthy fall season

Of course, watch this fall turn out to be one of the sh*tiest falls in a long time now that I have opened my pie hole

[muslim12]

I put money on this fall beimg wet and cold then we flip to bitterly cold and dry in winter! 2014 all over again for winter! I absolutely despise cold dry winters...

[chicagogeorge]

Originally Posted by muslim12

I put money on this fall beimg wet and cold then we flip to bitterly cold and dry in winter! 2014 all over again for winter! I absolutely despise cold dry winters...

Actually ENSO has mimicked 2014 so far


https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...45096522313728


and the sun also looks like it would favor a cold winter



https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...35948933992448

[muslim12]

Originally Posted by chicagogeorge

Actually ENSO has mimicked 2014 so far


https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...45096522313728


and the sun also looks like it would favor a cold winter



https://twitter.com/commoditywx/stat...35948933992448

Yep, all early indications are pointing to a cold winter. Not too mention the North Atlantic cold pool is reforming.

[Razza94]

Are there any indications for Europe's winter, as of yet?

Hopefully there's a cold one coming.

[Isleofpalms85]

Originally Posted by muslim12

I put money on this fall beimg wet and cold then we flip to bitterly cold and dry in winter! 2014 all over again for winter! I absolutely despise cold dry winters...

Wouldn't surprise me at all if this winter turns out to be worse than the winter of 2013-2014, at least the winter of 2013-2014 had record setting snowfall in central Indiana.........

[Craziaskowboi]

Originally Posted by speagles84

Still far off, but that model looks horrific. I'm hoping for a refreshing cool fall - and after 18 straight months of above average temperatures, we deserve it lol.

Those models look great to me. They're indicating below-normal temperatures for the South in the fall, winter and spring.