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Old 09-20-2019, 12:36 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,775,010 times
Reputation: 1417

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Models have been remarkably consistent over the past week bringing copious amounts of rainfall to the deserts of the Southwest, particularly in Arizona. With the potential event now less than five days away I thought I should start a thread to document it. Interestingly, even though Tucson is normally significantly wetter than Phoenix, Phoenix is the city most consistently forecasted to be inundated by this event

Here are some forecasts for locations in Arizona as well as some precipitation maps:

Tucson:




Phoenix:




Precipitation Maps

EC:




GFS:




Feel free to share your thoughts and input as this is an ongoing event
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Old 09-21-2019, 02:28 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,775,010 times
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Should start monday
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Old 09-21-2019, 03:25 PM
 
Location: Mid Atlantic USA
12,623 posts, read 13,929,460 times
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What is causing this. Monsoonal rains?
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Old 09-21-2019, 10:27 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,775,010 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tom77falcons View Post
What is causing this. Monsoonal rains?
Combination of a post-tropical system and a cutoff low moving down from the NW. Not really monsoonal.
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Old 09-23-2019, 02:39 PM
 
Location: Sector 001
15,946 posts, read 12,287,130 times
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I'm so tired of moisture I'm looking to find the most consistently dry yet not overly hot place in the US to move...perhaps Denver to pueblo in Colorado. Enough is enough with all the bleeping moisture.
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Old 09-23-2019, 04:59 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,775,010 times
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Tornado touched down in Northern Phoenix today.
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Old 09-23-2019, 05:03 PM
 
Location: Bellingham, WA
465 posts, read 405,221 times
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It looks like most of the rain has missed Phoenix and Tucson proper, no?
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Old 09-23-2019, 05:07 PM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,775,010 times
Reputation: 1417
Quote:
Originally Posted by tenochitlan View Post
It looks like most of the rain has missed Phoenix and Tucson proper, no?
Phoenix got quite a bit today in areas. Nothing today in Tucson (0.40” yesterday) but it’s not supposed to start here until tonight.
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